Sitrep_links_in_eng

The 7x7 — Gorizontalnaya Rossiya [Horizontal Russia] Telegram channel:

In Saratov, after the increase in payments, the number of people willing to fight in Ukraine has increased 10-fold

Vitaly Fedorov, an officer at the military service selection point, reported about the ten-fold increase over the past two or three months. According to the officer, the main motivation of citizens is to defend the Motherland.

At the end of July, the Governor of the Saratov region Roman Busargin increased the one-time payment to contract soldiers from 50 thousand rubles [$566] to 500 thousand rubles [$5,653]. He extended the payments until December 31, 2024.

According to government sources interviewed by Meduza media outlet, the state is ready to pay contract soldiers billions, probably to avoid a new mobilization. In addition to money, regional authorities are offering another motivation. The Yakut police called on unemployed and alcoholic residents to sign a contract to change their “meaningless lives.” The Interior Ministry later deleted the post.

#Saratovregion

The ✙DeepState✙🇺🇦 Telegram channel:

🔄 The map has been updated!

⚔️ The enemy advanced near Vuhledar, in Mykolaivka, Krutyi Yar and Krasnyi Yar. The line near Selydove and Staromaiorske has been clarified.

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The ✙DeepState✙🇺🇦 Telegram channel:

💥 The Katsaps [Russians] are actively striking Hirnyk with artillery and gliding bombs today

🏚 Destroying buildings and strongholds is a prerequisite for urban combat activities. Now the enemy is strengthening its positions north of the town and is preparing to enter it.

The ✙DeepState✙🇺🇦 Telegram channel:

🔄 The map has been updated!

⚔️ The Defense Forces of Ukraine restored positions near Zaliznianske and advanced near Kamyshevka. The enemy advanced near Kruhliakivka, Klishchiivka, Krasnohorivka, Hostre, in Nevske, Pivnichne, Toretsk, Heorhiivka and Maksymilianivka.

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The ✙DeepState✙🇺🇦 Telegram channel:

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⚔️ The enemy advanced near Niu-York, Tsukuryne, Hirnyk, Vodiane, Vuhledar, Prechystivka and in Toretsk.

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The ✙DeepState✙🇺🇦 Telegram channel:

📍The situation in the area of ​​the settlement of Pischane continues to deteriorate.

🇷🇺 🐽 The movement of the enemy continues in the direction of the Borova-Kupiansk Vuzlovy-Kupiansk highway, which is the main logistics route in that area. At the beginning of the occupation of Pishchany, the Katsaps [Russians] first continued to attack in the direction of Kolisnykivka, and then to the north, reaching the heights. But having met resistance, they began to look for another vector of movement and found a weak spot in the lowlands towards the settlement of Kruhliakivka, where they had their last successes.

⚔️ The Defense Forces are making efforts to stop the enemy, in particular, they are constantly using drones. To date, the Katsaps are storming with available forces and there are prospects of their exhaustion. But if they pull up the reserves there, then the available resource will allow them to develop their success and threaten the breakdown of logistics, which will be a very bad consequence. The enemy has long been actively using FPV kamikaze drones targeting roads and air forces to attack crossings and raze populated areas to the ground.

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The ✙DeepState✙🇺🇦 Telegram channel:

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⚔️ The enemy advanced near Niu-York, Ivanivske, Halytsynivka and in Toretsk.

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The ✙DeepState✙🇺🇦 Telegram channel:

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⚔️ The enemy advanced near Obukhovka, Pishchane, Marfopil, Ukrainsk and in Zalizne.

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The ✙DeepState✙🇺🇦 Telegram channel:

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⚔️ The enemy advanced near Stelmakhivka, in Hrodivka and Ukrainsk. Fighting continues in the area of Zhelanne Pershe.

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The Agentstvo.Novosti [Agency.News] Telegram channel:

The AFU have probably entered the second village in the area of ​​the third border breach in the Kursk region

Russian z-channels report a worsening situation for the Russian military in the area of ​​the village of Vesyoloye in the Glushkovsky district. According to some reports, the Ukrainian Armed Forces have already entered the village and continue to increase the onslaught. NASA satellites have recorded fires in the village. Vesyoloye is 7 km from the regional center of Glushkovo.

Details. The first reports of a breakthrough by the AFU in the Vesyoloye area appeared on Thursday. On Friday, the Rybar Telegram channel associated with the "Ministry of Defense" reported the capture of the village of Novy Put (3 km south of Vesyoloye), located on the border. On Saturday, the Ukrainian offensive in this area was confirmed by the US Institute for the Study of War (ISW). Military analyst Yan Mateyev published two videos confirming the breakthrough. “There is no serious resistance in sight, the road through the pyramids is well-trodden,” he wrote.

▪️By Saturday evening, fighting is already underway in Veseloye itself, writes the pro-war Telegram channel Dva mayora [Two Majors]. According to the channel, the AFU are trying to gain a foothold in this settlement. “Our contacts assess the situation as grave,” the channel notes.

▪️Z-blogger Yuriy Podolyaka wrote that Vesyoloye was already under the AFU control at 10 am. The MIG Rossii [MIG of Russia] Telegram channel also writes about the grave situation in the area of ​​the village. However, according to its data, as of 12 o'clock the village was still under Russian control.

▪️NASA satellites indicate that there are fires in Vesyoloye and Novy Put. The satellites flew over the settlements at 11 am and 1 pm.

▪️The Russian Ministry of Defense reported on Saturday that five breakthrough attempts in this area had been repelled. In a report the day before, the department reported that three such attempts had been repelled.

▪️The Telegram channel of the Khorne Group unit of the Ukrainian 116th Separate Mechanized Brigade, where the videos of the breakthrough were published, reports that “a group of Russian conscripts numbering more than one thousand people [found themselves] under threat of encirclement.”

▪️"The surprise Ukrainian operation was essentially a repeat of the Ukrainian invasion of the Kursk region on August 6 on a smaller scale," writes Forbes. This breakthrough occurred in the area of Sudzha.

▪️In mid-August, the AFU also broke through the border in the west of the region, near the settlement of Tyotkino and the Seym River. Now, according to the Ukrainian OSINT project DeepState, they control 11 square kilometers of territory in this area.

Context. Last week, Russia launched its first counterattack in the Kursk region near Snyagost, but ISW analysts note that they have not observed a large-scale coordinated operation aimed at the complete liberation of the region.

▪️The intensity of fighting in the Kursk region is now comparable to the activity on the first day of the Ukrainian Armed Forces offensive on August 6, writes the the ZAPISKI VETERANA [Veteran's Notes] TG channel. The most serious combat activities, as the channel reports, are taking place near Glushkovo and Korenevo.

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The ✙DeepState✙🇺🇦 Telegram channel:

🔄 The map has been updated!

⚔️ The enemy advanced near Kolisnikivka, Katerynivka, Vodiane, Vuhledar, in Spirne and Ukrainsk. The situation in Kremyanoe has been clarified.

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The ✙DeepState✙🇺🇦 Telegram channel:

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⚔️ The Defense Forces occupied Vetreno, Durovka and part of Zhuravli. The enemy occupied Halytsynivka and Snagost with surrounding villages, and also advanced towards Liubimovka, near Pishchane, Hryhorivka, Hostre, Heorhiivka, in Synkivka, Niu-York and Ukrainsk.

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The Mash Telegram channel:

The AFU attempted to attack the Olenya airfield with the support of NATO countries. Preliminary, the Ukrainian drones that were shot down in the Murmansk region were launched from Finland.

According to flight maps, two Swedish reconnaissance aircraft were previously monitoring the Russian border. This is the S102B radio and electronic reconnaissance aircraft, as well as the Gulfstream Aerospace TP 102C (G-IV-SP), which can intercept telephone calls, radio communications, digital and television networks.

The first aircraft constantly flies off the coast of the Kaliningrad region. The second was spotted in August last year, when it was conducting reconnaissance over the Finnish Lake Inari near the Russian border. Before that, such sorties were carried out exclusively by US Air Force aircraft.

After reconnaissance flights by NATO aircraft, two A-22 Flying Fox UAVs were launched from the (preliminary) Ivalo airfield (it is convenient to disguise the devices as civilian aircraft there).

The air defense system shot down all targets near the village of Vysokii. After this, the authorities introduced temporary restrictions on the operation of the airports of Murmansk and Apatity. The air harbors stopped accepting and sending civilian airliners.

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The Radio Svoboda [Radio Liberty] (ru) Telegram channel:

What targets can Ukraine hit with Western long-range missiles if the US lifts the ban on their use against targets on Russian territory?

The issue of lifting this ban, which Ukraine has long been asking for, is being discussed more and more often—first, US President Joe Biden announced it's "being worked out" on Tuesday, the next day US Secretary of State Antony Blinken and the head of the British Foreign Office David Lammy raised it in Kyiv during negotiations with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy.

On the part of Ukraine, the most common justification for lifting the ban (initially established by Ukrainian allies due to the risk of escalating the Russian-Ukrainian war into a military conflict between Russia and NATO) is the need to strike Russian airfields from which Russian Army aircraft take off to strike Ukrainian territory. At the same time, the US military has repeatedly noted that Russia has withdrawn its military aircraft capable of attacking Ukraine with guided gliding air bombs from bases located within the range (300 kilometers) of ATACMS ballistic missiles and Storm Shadow/Scalp EG cruise missiles.

Radio Liberty studied satellite images of Russian air bases located within 300 kilometers from the front line and found that almost all of them were empty—either in the spring or after successful attacks by Ukrainian drones. We are talking about the airfields of Khalino, Yeysk, Baltimore (Voronezh), Morozovsk, Millerovo, Kursk-Vostochny (Khalino), Seshcha and others.

Does this mean that there is no particular sense in lifting the ban on Ukraine using long-range missiles against targets on Russian territory? Experts from the analytical group Conflict Intelligence Team (CIT), with whom Radio Liberty spoke, do not think so.

"Within the 300-kilometer zone (it is worth considering that for a safe launch, the aircraft must be at least 30-50 km from the front line) there are many other military targets that can be hit with these missiles. These include field depots of ammunition and fuel and lubricants, which Ukraine is trying to attack with drones, or the headquarters of military units—the latter can be moved 60-70 kilometers from the frontline (the range of HIMARS MLRS missiles), but it is difficult to move beyond 300km. In addition, military targets may include S-300/400 air defense systems, which Ukraine has already been targeting with these missiles in Crimea. They cannot be so easily removed beyond the 300-kilometer zone, because this will open the way for Ukrainian air forces and drones and leave the important assets they protect defenseless. Another option is to strike bridges, which are an important part of Russian logistics. It is difficult to destroy even a small bridge with a drone , while and for a missile this is a feasible task. Cruise and ballistic missiles have a more powerful warhead, which can hit capital structures, and these are not only bridges, but often headquarters, and an ATACMS missile can also have a cluster warhead, which is extremely effective in attacking fuel and lubricants depots or ammunition. In addition, cruise missiles, and especially ballistic missiles, have a much shorter flight time: while a slow drone makes it possible to evacuate aircraft from the airfield before the strike, this will not be possible when attacked by ATACMS or StormShadow/Scalp EG missiles,” say CIT analysts.

However, according to the US Financial Times media outlet, US Defense Department officials currently believe that it is better for Ukraine to focus on using Western weapons to protect the eastern and northern regions, as well as to maintain access to the Black Sea.

The Fighterbomber Telegram channel:

The video shows an aircraft flying. There is no sign of being shot down.
Which of course will not stop the Ukes from reporting the aircraft as shot down and getting some cash for it. This is common practice. In our country, as well.

At the moment, there is no understanding of the causes of the crash.

Understanding will come after the inspection of the wreckage, the flight recorder, and objective control from the plane by the state commission.
The search for the crew continues.

The Zvizdets Mangustu [Mongoose (operation) is fucked up] Telegram channel:

While the AFU control Selydove, as well as the Shevchenko-Chunyshyne-Dachenske-Novyi Trud area, and hold positions along the Zhuravka and Kazenyi Torets Rivers, the enemy can only "gnaw through" the Ukrainian defenses toward Pokrovsk exclusively on both sides of the above-mentioned railway.

That is, to operate in a relatively narrow strip between the Solonyi and Zhuravka Rivers (this is approximately up to 5 km), hoping that he will eventually be able to crawl up to the southeastern and eastern outskirts of Pokrovsk and "catch a foothold" there.

And, apparently, the Russian command is fully aware of all the "delights" of such a situation. That is why it is now so "sharply", strongly and noticeably "concerned" with the flanks of its group, which is aimed at Pokrovsk. Nobody wants to receive a sudden and hard "push" to the side, in the direction of the "main attack", even if it is not very powerful and even if it is only from one flank, at the most crucial moment of implementing their entire plan for the summer-autumn campaign.

It will still be extremely noticeable for the content of the entire plan and its main element. Especially when, by this very moment, a whole lot (or better to say, a large part) of forces and resources accumulated with such difficulties earlier had ALREADY been spent on its implementation...

Therefore, we will not see the main (principal) attempt, a kind of "endeavor" of the enemy to seize Pokrovsk right now (that is, in the near future), but a little later...

And, today, there is a very high probability that it will look exactly like the relatively recent "assault" on the town of Chasiv Yar in the conditions of the existence of the Klishchiivka bridgehead of the AFU, in particular:

- Concentration of forces and means in a relatively narrow area...
- Their "excessive massing", with a high tactical density of combat formations...
- The appearance of operational reserves of the enemy literally "at the last moment" and their dispersal across the entire strip...

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