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Just Sam | Web3 & DeFi Insights

@web3_sam
Channel's geo and language: USA, English

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Just Sam | Web3 & DeFi Insights

9 Mar, 12:12

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If you bought an oil futures 10 days ago, now your profit is greater than those who have been trading ETH for 8 years since the peak in January 2018🍸

By the way, the oil itself recovered a little and returned to $106. The G7 countries are thinking of opening reserves and putting 300-400 million barrels of oil on the market. Taking into account the fall in world supplies by 20 million barrels per day, even if such a decision is made, the deficit will be covered only for 20 days. And what’s next?😠

The U.S. Treasury Department has recognized that cryptomixers can be used for legitimate financial privacy. At the same time, the agency suggested that Congress introduce a mechanism for freezing suspicious digital assets and determine which DeFi participants should be subject to AML control. That is, they will ban, but only those who don’t like it😇

Chinese AI agent ROME from Alibaba began to secretly mine cryptocurrency during the experiment. It seems that AI is becoming more and more independent👌

DeXe - $4,59 (↑21,98%)
Bittensor - $195 (↑10,26%)
Chiliz - $0,03754 (↑9,52%)
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Just Sam | Web3 & DeFi Insights

8 Mar, 19:55

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FOBO: new fear because of AI😱

This week, a new term appeared on the markets - FOBO (Fear Of Becoming Obsolete). This is the fear of employees and investors becoming unnecessary because of AI.

Reason:

▪️ Block announced the reduction of ~4,000 employees against the background of the introduction of AI.

▪️ Analytical report on the possible «death of office professions» collapsed the shares of software companies by ~$200 billion.

▪️ 63% of employees are ready to refuse a salary increase just to get skills in working with AI.
Почти все топ-менеджеры ожидают, что внедрение AI сократит штат компаний в ближайшие годы. Но парадокс в том, что реальный эффект технологии пока не очевиден 🫠

At JPMorgan, employees say that AI saves them working hours, but the bank’s financial results do not show it.

Conclusion: fear of AI is already affecting the labor market and shares of companies. But the main question remains open - will AI replace people or just make them work faster and more.

The Internet and personal computers couldn’t do it, it will be different with AI🤯
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Just Sam | Web3 & DeFi Insights

7 Mar, 19:39

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⚠️ The U.S. economy is moving towards the worst-case scenario - stagflation

After the start of the war between the United States and Iran, oil rose sharply: in just a few days, the price rose from $70 to +$90 (↑28%). Since the last inflation report, oil has risen in price by about $20.

Important: every $10 of oil growth adds about 0.2% to inflation in the United States and takes away 0.1% of economic growth💸

Now CPI in the United States is 2.4%, and GDP growth is 1.4%. Taking into account the oil jump, inflation may rise to about 3%, and economic growth may slow down to 1.1-1.2%. Это классическая стагфляция: инфляция растет, а экономика замедляется.

The Fed is at an impasse:

▪️ raise rates - slow down the economy more

▪️ reduce rates - disperse inflation

The main hope of the markets is a quick settlement of the conflict and a fall in oil prices. Optimists still remained, despite Trump’s willingness to fight forever for the complete surrender of Iran.
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Just Sam | Web3 & DeFi Insights

7 Mar, 17:55

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🇺🇸 CLARITY could become a market trigger

🔥 JPMorgan analysts believe that the CLARITY Act, a bill outlining the structure of the crypto market, could be passed by mid-year.

ℹ️ If that happens, the market may receive a strong positive impulse driven by regulatory clarity.

⚡️ The bank maintains a bullish outlook and sets a long-term BTC target at $266,000.
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Just Sam | Web3 & DeFi Insights

5 Mar, 22:20

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🙏 Bitcoin at a make-or-break point

Bitcoin has reached a decisive resistance level over the last two years. CoinDesk analysts highlight two possible scenarios:

▪️ A breakout above $74,400 and a rapid rise to $80k, as there is no strong resistance above that level.

▪️ A rebound from the current level, confirming the bearish trend.

Given the geopolitical situation, BTC could break through the level several times in a single day, or rebound from it several times 🙂
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Just Sam | Web3 & DeFi Insights

5 Mar, 15:56

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⚡️ Traders React to U.S.-Israel Airstrikes on Iran: A Market Analysis

💰 Prediction markets are buzzing following significant airstrikes by the United States and Israel against Iran. Traders are currently estimating a 46% chance that the Iranian regime will collapse by June 30. Some market participants successfully predicted the timing of the attack, with one bettor reportedly placing a $60,000 wager three days prior and winning $500,000.

🚀 The operation, dubbed "Operation Epic Fury" by the Pentagon, saw U.S. President Trump urging Iran's Revolutionary Guard Corps to surrender and calling for civilian uprising against their government. Reports indicate that early insiders in the prediction markets made over $1,000,000 from this outcome.

📉 However, not all traders profited. A Polymarket user known as "anoin123" suffered a significant loss of approximately $6.5 million after the unexpected airstrike reversed their previous gains.

📊 Wagering remains active as traders adjust their expectations regarding the ongoing Middle East conflict. A Kalshi event asking "Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz this year?" currently shows a 56% probability for that outcome. Another Kalshi event tracks the likelihood of Ali Khamenei leaving office, with odds increasing as the timeframe extends into 2026.

📈 As of February 28, 2026, the probability of Khamenei's departure before March 1, 2026, is at 20%, while the odds for him exiting before July 1, 2026, sit at 67%. Polymarket bettors assign a 75% probability to Khamenei being removed from power by March 31, 2026.
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Just Sam | Web3 & DeFi Insights

5 Mar, 11:56

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Trump rated the war in Iran as 15 out of 10😁

Meanwhile:
▪️ The Pentagon is going to request another $50 billion for the Iranian operation.

▪️ The media report that Kurdish rebels are ready to launch a ground invasion of Iran.

The markets like everything so far, but, as you may have noticed, the mood of investors changes every day to the opposite 😇
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Just Sam | Web3 & DeFi Insights

4 Mar, 13:53

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BTC at $71k: the crypto market begins to believe in a major rebound 🧪
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Just Sam | Web3 & DeFi Insights

3 Mar, 20:57

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✅ Trump does not rule out a ground operation in Iran, but for now he plans to limit himself to supporting local paramilitary groups. Forget about boredom and get more popcorn for March 🍿

Tuesday news:

🔸 Iran announced the closure of the Strait of Hormuz and threatened to attack passing vessels

🔸 A large miner MARA Holdings allowed the sale of BTC in a new strategy for 2026. On the balance sheet of almost 54k BTC ($3.7 billion)😱

🔸 Iraq stopped the operation of the Rumaila oil field after the closure of the Strait of Hormuz

🔸 Bybit said that with the help of AI monitoring helped users return more than $300 million

🔸 The head of the CFTC Mike Selig said that the United States could approve perpetual cryptocurrency futures within a month

🔸 JPMorgan expects the adoption of the Clarity Act in the middle of the year and maintains the BTC target at $266k

🔸 The outflow of of cryptocurrencies from Iranian exchanges increased by 700% after the strikes by the United States and Israel and amounted to about $10 million 🙃

🔸 Core Scientific miner plans to sell almost all of its 2,500 BTC this quarter

🔸 Turkey proposed to introduce a 10% tax on income from cryptocurrencies with quarterly withholding through regulated platforms
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Just Sam | Web3 & DeFi Insights

3 Mar, 11:54

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The Strait of Hormuz is officially everything: Iran promised to sink all passing ships. Under the threat of 20% of world oil logistics, the Brent oil exchange rate jumped to $80, and BTC and S&P 500 are looking down again😩

Turkey proposed to introduce a 10% tax on income from cryptocurrency. The bill provides for the withholding of tax by regulated platforms on a quarterly basis, regardless of the client’s status. It’s somehow inhumane to take another 10% from cryptocurrencies during the crypto winter🤗

Bybit exchange said that with the help of AI monitoring it helped users recover more than $300 million and prevented more than 3 million attempts to hack accounts👍

JPMorgan believes that the Clarity Act may be adopted in the middle of this year. The bank retains a bullish look and a long-term target for BTC at $266,000🤑

-1. Core Scientific miner plans to sell almost all of its 2,500 BTC this quarter and spend money on the AI direction 💀

🔹 Top 3 for 24 hours:
NEAR - $1,35 (↑14,94%)
ENA - $0,1127 (↑10,15%)
VIRTUAL - $0,7541 (↑9,63%)
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Just Sam | Web3 & DeFi Insights

2 Mar, 19:01

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Silver will renew its ATH 🤑

Against the backdrop of escalating tensions surrounding Iran, silver has returned to $96. If it breaks through $100, it will open the way to testing and even renewing its ATH above $120, should tensions intensify.

Technical indicators point to growth: daily and weekly charts support the trend. However, a bearish divergence is forming, which cannot be ignored. Any news about the end of the conflict could turn the market around.

The trigger for the new ATH scenario is an RSI break above 77 🕯

Meanwhile, the situation is heating up:
▪️ Friendly fire from air defense systems shot down 1-3 US fighter jets over Kuwait.
▪️ Iran is attacking tankers in the Strait of Hormuz and oil refineries in neighboring countries.
▪️ Iran, still in its dreams, has hit a US missile ship and the Israeli prime minister's office.


Long positions in gold and silver may strengthen if the US stock market falls.

But at the first news of Iran's readiness for negotiations, the situation on the financial markets will instantly reverse 🔪
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Just Sam | Web3 & DeFi Insights

2 Mar, 16:46

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Brent crude oil trading opened with a pump to $82 (+12%) 🧪

Then there was the traditional drop-off of the most greedy, and now the price is trying to stabilize around $80.

S&P 500 futures are down just 1% — a typical day when Donnie-Dump shakes up the markets.

So far, the situation on the markets does not look like the beginning of WW3, which is generally not bad 😇
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Just Sam | Web3 & DeFi Insights

2 Mar, 13:35

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The US and Israel continue military operations against Iran. Trump said that potential candidates for leadership in Iran have been eliminated, and the conflict itself could last up to four weeks. Against this backdrop, gold rose above $5,400, which is reasonable, but pessimists are already predicting $6,000 😃

BTC fell over the weekend and is now looking for balance around $66,000. Remember that the trend remains downward, and volatility may increase after the S&P 500 starts trading tonight 🕯

X removed “financial products” and crypto from the list of prohibited categories in its paid integrations policy. The head of product at X said it was a mistake. Suddenly, Musk or Trump decide to pump memes again, of course, the ban had to be lifted urgently ☺️

After an Iranian drone strike, Saudi Arabia shut down one of the world's largest oil refineries, Ras Tanura. If the oil situation spreads from logistics through the Strait of Hormuz to production and processing in the Middle East, oil prices will rise even higher 😳
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Just Sam | Web3 & DeFi Insights

28 Feb, 19:14

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Did the USA get hit or not?😠

BTC went up on rumors about the death of Ayatollah Khamenei - there is no official confirmation. The Iranian Foreign Ministry denies everything, but Khamenei does not show it.

There is also no confirmation of the history of blocking the Strait of Hormuz, although the tankers slowed down the movement for safety reasons.

On such days, the best trade is to remove the exchange application away. Unless, of course, there is no purpose to lose money on fake news🙁
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Just Sam | Web3 & DeFi Insights

28 Feb, 15:13

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☄️ The United States and Israel launched a military operation against Iran

The crypt falls first, because peacekeeper Trump always drops bombs on weekends when the stock market is closed.

Iran’s retaliatory strikes are reported, everything is just beginning💣
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Just Sam | Web3 & DeFi Insights

27 Feb, 21:26

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Jane Street’s manipulation, or who made the crypto winter 🥶

Cryptans discuss the conspiracy theory of BTC price manipulation by market maker Jane Street.

Dump scheme:
▪️ We collect BTC on the spot for $70k.

▪️ In a moment of panic, we open shorts with a shoulder

▪️ We sell a large volume on the spot to disperse the panic.

▪️ We fix shorts about $62k.

▪️ We buy cheaper again and wait for the next reason🔪

The theory became popular after the story with the Indian stock market, where Jane Street rolled this scheme and came under the regulator’s investigation.

Does anyone manipulate prices better than Trump? 😇
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Just Sam | Web3 & DeFi Insights

27 Feb, 15:26

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🔍 Insider trading within Axiom - ZachXBT investigation

The crypto community confirmed rumors about possible insider trading in one of the fastest growing trading platforms - Axiom. The investigation was conducted by the well-known on-chain detective ZachXBT.

🧐 The main thing from the investigation:

▪️ An employee of the BD department Brooks Bauer (BROOX), who had access to the internal tools of the platform, came under suspicion. He could track users’ private wallets by UID, referral code and other data.

▪️ The information obtained could be used for memecoin trading and potential front-run transactions. Inside the group, tables with wallet addresses of traders and influencers were created to track their activity. Some Axiom employees and moderators could also have access to this data and participate in the scheme.

👌 Of course, against this background, before the publication of the investigation, a vote was created on Polymarket, where insiders also managed to make money. For example, the user predictorxyz put $65,800 on the outcome associated with Axiom and received $411,400.

Exposed some insiders and helped others earn money😉
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Just Sam | Web3 & DeFi Insights

27 Feb, 10:25

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Markets after another good Nvidia report 🫡

What will happen when a bad report comes out😳
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Just Sam | Web3 & DeFi Insights

26 Feb, 20:36

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😃 Shiba Inu launches compensation mechanism for Shibarium users

🔥 The Shiba Inu team has introduced the SOU (Shib Owes You) system — an on-chain NFT that records the ecosystem’s obligations to affected Shibarium users. Each NFT contains a cryptographically verified amount owed, permanently recorded on the Ethereum network.

💵 The SOU reflects the exact amount owed to a specific user: the balance decreases as payouts are made, and community donations are also taken into account.

📣The entire mechanism has been audited by Hexens, including a review of repayment logic and smart contract security.
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Just Sam | Web3 & DeFi Insights

26 Feb, 10:36

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76% expect BTC to fall below $60k🧸

PlanB conducted a survey about the market day:

▪️ $60k - 23.9%

▪️ $50k - 32.3%

▪️ $40k – 23%

▪️ $30k – 20.8%

Bitcoin really has a high chance of falling below $60k.

But first, the market will make it so that everyone will believe in a new bull and buy $70k with borrowed money🔪
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