Eyes Open New Zealand

The most comprehensive analysis yet, comparing Google movement data to Covid19 deaths has found that lockdown (“stay at home”) had no role in preventing Covid19 fatalities.

The scientific report published in Nature says:

“In ~ 98% of the comparisons using 87 different regions of the world we found no evidence that the number of deaths/million is reduced by staying at home. Regional differences in treatment methods and the natural course of the virus may also be major factors in this pandemic…”

There have been some studies recently matching Google movement data to Covid19 patterns but these have not been sufficiently long in their time period:

"The small sample size and the non-stationary nature of COVID-19 data are challenges for statistical models, but our analysis, with 25 epidemiological weeks, is relatively larger than previous publications which used only 7 weeks. A short interval of observation between the introduction of an NPI and the observed effect on death rates yields no sound conclusion, and is a case where the follow-up period is not long enough to capture the outcome, as seen in previous publications."

The tragedy of it all is, as the study authors conclude, that the lockdown advice from authorities therefore appears to be based on a very common error of judgement known as the ‘exception fallacy’. That is where something that could be true for an individual is therefore concluded to be true for a population. In this case, that if an individual stays at home, they won’t catch a virus, so if everyone stays home, no one catches a virus. Stated like that, the policy seems bizarre.

"Given the importance of social isolation promoted by world authorities, we expected a higher incidence of significant comparisons, even though it could be an ecological fallacy. The low number of significant associations between regions for mortality rate and the percentage of staying at home may be a case of exception fallacy, which is a generalization of individual characteristics applied at the group-level characteristics."

This research means the sole reason for lockdowns – saving lives – most likely hasn’t happened.

Which means all that lockdowns will leave is their social, health and economic costs.

https://www.nature.com/articles/s41598-021-84092-1

Text from Plan B's article here: https://www.covidplanb.co.nz/uncategorized/study-in-nature-blows-lockdowns-out-of-the-water/?fbclid=IwAR0lDi5w8E6NRc3c_aGvObnbPZoiT01AQLgjmP-oxE9_leDiFDydkEEDTic

Or in fact to put an even more narrow a point on it, "Lockdowns: rich, old and/or obese people mildly benefiting at the immense expense of the poor and young".

https://www.forbes.com/sites/jemimamcevoy/2021/03/04/obesity-and-covid-death-rate-closely-linked-in-new-study/?sh=5aab487643ea

Relative wealth and obesity going hand in hand, of course...

Oh look, the same comparison also works out between the UK (massive lockdown fan) and Sweden (no mandatory lockdowns).

The results are: very similar Covid patterns, and Sweden has lower overall all-cause mortality.

https://summit.news/2021/02/18/no-lockdown-sweden-sees-covid-deaths-plummet-quicker-than-uk/

Says it all in the headline, really.

The comparison between California and Florida is a beautiful case study in the utter needless catastrophe that is lockdowns.

California has continued to implement regular, lengthy, crippling, society-destroying lockdowns.

Floridians meanwhile are - more or less - going about their usual business - and have done now for months.

They have comparable climates, and density of living.

And there is no material difference in the Covid effect on the population.

And note: neither state has had a particularly bad (let alone alarming, let alone catastrophic) level of overall mortality over the past 12 months or so.

Unfortunately, most Covid Alarmists don't have the moral fortitude to recognize this sort of obvious evidence - because they've already dug their hole too deep, and have too much to lose (e.g. ego and reputation at the very least) from doing the right thing.

And so they keep digging. "Oh," they mutter, "Floridians have it coming to them, you just wait and see; something something long covid something something you must hate old people something something..."

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-9176263/Florida-California-took-opposite-approaches-COVID-19-ended-outcome.html