Football. Germany. Bundesliga 🇩🇪
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Eintracht Frankfurt VS Borussia Mönchengladbac🇩🇪
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1X + Team 2 Total. 1X And Over (0.5) - Yes - 1,9
Bet amount: $1 200I expect at least a no-loss for the hosts + goals from both teams and here's why:
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Goalkeeper area. Here both teams will not be able to play the main goalkeepers: Trapp for Eintracht and Omlin for Borussia M. Both are absolutely basic.
Interestingly, Trapp has only missed 6 Bundesliga matches in the last 5 seasons and in all 6 of those matches Eintracht have conceded.
Omlin is no less basic goalkeeper, but last season he had a long treatment and he was substituted with varying success by Nicholas, who will be in the starting line-up today.
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Head-to-head encounters. It's interesting here - all 6 head-to-head matches of the last 3 seasons have ended in an exchange of goals and an unbeaten Eintracht. Last season in Frankfurt Eintracht miraculously scored 2 goals in the 2nd half (2-1), in Mönchengladbach they played 1-1. In both meetings Eintracht were better in the game. In the last 6 league games on the field of Eintracht was an exchange of goals and only once Borussia was able to take away 3 points - it was in 2020, when in the attack of BM shone Thuram, Hofmann, Embolo and Stindl, and on the goal stood Sommer... at the same time, in the centre of the attack of Eintracht then played Dost))))
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Eintracht's unbeaten run. The Eagles are good at home and suffered only 2 defeats this season and last season. From Stuttgart and Bayer (1-2 and 1-5, respectively) Well, we remember what places these teams took last season. In the current season so far there was only 1 home game - without much trouble they dealt with marker Hoffenheim (3-1, xg2.39-0.99, 3-1 BS, 18-11 shots, 7-3 on goal and 13 shots from the opponent's penalty box). Away lost in the 1st round Borussia D 2-0, where the game was not worse at all, but a little sagged after the break. Well and last round they looked good against also marker Wolsbfurg (win 1-2, xG1.58-2.53, 18-14 shots, 4-6 on goal, 1-4 BS and 0-2 frame). I have a lot of sympathy for the Eagles' lineup. With the exception of the wings - a set of players right under the top 5 Bundes minimum.
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BM Goal. Perhaps the main difficulty of the bet is a goal from the guests. For last season Eintracht were often seen in stuffy meetings (in 5 of the last 18 home games they did not concede). However, all those 5 dry matches had one thing in common - bus opponents (Mainz, Union, Heidenheim (early season), Darmstad and Freiburg). BM can be compared to Hoffenheim or Wolfsburg... well, or Augsburg and Bochum still at times +/- the same. With such opponents Eintracht had goals (3-1 and 3-1 wins over Hoff in the last season, 2-2 with Wolfsburg at home in the season 23/24 and recent 1-2 or here's a 3-1 win over Augsburg and 1-1 with Bochum - at home last year) and BM started the season very soundly. In the only away match they took out a weak Bochum 0-2 (xg0.68-2.94, 1-3 BS and 1-1 frame), but this opponent is of little interest to me here. Much more marker meetings turned out on their home field, where they lost 1-3 to Stuttgart and 2-3 to Bayer. In both of these encounters BM's defence didn't hold up at all, allowing a total of 10 great chances and 17 shots on goal (3 times into the frame). Ok, we already knew that BM's defence is their weak link (last season they didn't concede in only 1 away game... from Bayer))), but I'd like to point out very active attack of the Stallions - firstly, they managed to score, secondly - they could have scored more: 14 shots, 7 shots on goal and 2 shots on goal with xG1.58. Stuttgart were hit 15 times with the same 7 shots on goal and xG 1.65, creating 4 great chances (11 out of 15 shots from outside the box). These are all very much upbeat stats against the 1st and 2nd teams from last season. Leipzig, Bayer and Stuttgart are all teams that BM has failed to score against since the start of last season. However, they could only beat 2 teams: twice Bochum + 1-3 Wolfsburg (W was without a goalkeeper and 3 main defenders).
