The media has insisted for years that migrants commit fewer crimes than US citizens. The new data show that these claims are almost certainly wrong.
There are ~20,000 homicides annually in the US and a homicide conviction rate of ~60%, which equals 12,000 homicide convictions per year.
We don't know the period over which the ~15,000 homicides (convicted 13,099 & charged 1,845) of the non-detained migrants occurred.
But if we assume that all of the ~15,000 homicide convictions occurred over the last 10 or 5 years, then that's 1,500 or 3,000 homicide convictions per year.
The annual US homicide conviction rate is 3.6 per 100,000 people.
The annual non-detained migrant homicide conviction rate is 43 per 100,000 (assuming homicides occurred over the last 5 years)
The annual non-detained migrant homicide conviction rate is 21 per 100,000 (assuming the homicides occurred over last 10 years)
Either rate is significantly higher than the US rate.
Moreover, based on these numbers, it is impossible to determine the homicide conviction rates in foreign nations.
But there is good reason to believe the homicide conviction rate is lower in many of the nations from where the migrants are coming.
As such, it's safe to say that non-detained migrants commit homicides at a significantly higher rate than the US population.
https://t.me/westcoast_intel/46621
.
https://x.com/shellenberger/status/1839756523742048615
There are ~20,000 homicides annually in the US and a homicide conviction rate of ~60%, which equals 12,000 homicide convictions per year.
We don't know the period over which the ~15,000 homicides (convicted 13,099 & charged 1,845) of the non-detained migrants occurred.
But if we assume that all of the ~15,000 homicide convictions occurred over the last 10 or 5 years, then that's 1,500 or 3,000 homicide convictions per year.
The annual US homicide conviction rate is 3.6 per 100,000 people.
The annual non-detained migrant homicide conviction rate is 43 per 100,000 (assuming homicides occurred over the last 5 years)
The annual non-detained migrant homicide conviction rate is 21 per 100,000 (assuming the homicides occurred over last 10 years)
Either rate is significantly higher than the US rate.
Moreover, based on these numbers, it is impossible to determine the homicide conviction rates in foreign nations.
But there is good reason to believe the homicide conviction rate is lower in many of the nations from where the migrants are coming.
As such, it's safe to say that non-detained migrants commit homicides at a significantly higher rate than the US population.
https://t.me/westcoast_intel/46621
.
https://x.com/shellenberger/status/1839756523742048615