Lebanon News & OSINT ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง


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Analyzing Middle Eastern geopolitics through a Lebanese Christian lens.

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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท/๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ While many pro-Iranian outlets are celebrating that Israel's attack has been limited and interpret it as a sign of weakness, the fact that the IAF was able to strike many targets in the heart of Iran without a single airplane being shot down or damaged shows that Israel has absolute air immunity over Iranian airspace. Frankly, it is impressive.

If Israel was limited in its attack, it is not because Iran was able to somehow stop it, it is only because the USA basically forced Israel to limit their attacks in order to limit a future Iranian retaliation.


Btw their death proves that Israel managed to destroy Iranian AD systems


Forward from: Bellum Acta - Intel, Urgent News and Archives
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โš ๏ธ Warning: Graphic Content

๐Ÿ‘‘โŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท โ€” Footage shared on Iranian channels shows the moment of the assassination of Imam Mohammad Sabahi in Kazroun

โžก๏ธ No Organization claimed the attack, although, as mentioned before, pages tied with the US-based Kingdom Assembly of Iran (Tondar society) praised such an extremist action


๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง/๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ The American envoy Amos Hochstein returns tomorrow to Israel to listen to the opinions of Israeli officials about the Lebanese proposal rejecting any amendment to Resolution 1701.

The Israelis generally talk about 1701 in a modified form, and thus include Resolutions 1559 and 1608 in it.

If the Israeli position continues to be stubborn, which is to include Resolution 1559 in 1701 with a set of Israeli demands related to expanding the role of UNIFIL forces as well as its powers or establishing a buffer zone, then in this case Amos will likely not return to Lebanon and war will escalate even more.


๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡งโ—According to the Lebanese ministry of health, since the beginning of the war in Lebanon there has been:

- 2653 Deaths
- 12 360 Injuries

โ— Note that the MoH figures include Hezbollah fighters and civilians alike


๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฒ ๐ŸŸฅโ—For the first time, Donald J. Trump is favored to win the popular vote according to the new RCP polling average

Considering Trump is usually underestimated in national polls (Biden was leading +8 in the RCP average 4 years ago, ended up +4.5) this strongly indicates that the path to 270 will be very hard for Kamala Harris.


๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง/๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡พ We have seen several reports this month regarding the fluctuating number of Lebanese and Syrian citizens crossing from Lebanon into Syria since September 23rd

It's safe to say at least half a million left Lebanon to Syria, the majority of them are Syrians and around 150K are Lebanese


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๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡งโ—Fire in Hawqa - Zgharta


๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡งโ—More fires, this time in Ehden


A pic shared on X today

๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง To the left, Kfar kila in Lebanon
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ To the right, Metula in Israel


๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง/๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ Al Arabiya: 3 Israeli soldiers killed and 5 others injured in battles in southern Lebanon


๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡งโ—Another wildfire in Al Bireh, Chouf


๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ทโ— The Iranian army announces 2 new deaths, bringing the total to 4


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๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡งโ—More wildfires, here in Blouza- Bcharri

These are acts of arson and are fully intentional. I have no idea why they are being lit, but back in 2019 before the so called "Thawra" acts like these were widespread


๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡งโ—๏ธFires spreading in the Nahr el Kalb valley near Jeita


๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท The Iranian army announced that two air defence soldiers were KIA yesterday

โ€“ Major Hamza Jahandideh
โ€“ Warrant Officer Mohammad Mahdi Shaharkhifar


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๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง/๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ โ—It seems the IAF struck Abdallah Berri's (Parliament speaker Nabih Berri's son) real estate compound


๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡งโ—๏ธ On the same topic, according to witnesses, a man originally from southern Lebanon was detained in Rabweh yesterday with gas bottles and lighters.

Fires have been raging in Rabweh for over a week


๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง These wildfires are done on purpose most likely by fifth columnists. Notice how they are happening in non Shia cities and villages in Lebanon


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๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง Reports of clashes between refugees and an hotel owner in Bliss street, Beirut

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