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Avoid coins that exhibit scammy PA like what I've circled here

Because they will run the turkey playbook again, just like we're seeing now

$BAN


Some pair trades can be so clean

Long $LTC / short $APT over 3 months


HyperEVM launch announced leads to the inevitable news selling


Is $SOL ETF cancelled ?


No bull run anymore

Just short windows of outperformance and frenzy

More and more people are switching to this mental model, which is probably correct


In current conditions :

- Size down on perps
- Be mentally prepared to fade the pumps


Don't buy $LIBRA if you don't like pain


30d performance of a few large caps


More and more people calling for SOL top leads ETHBTC to go up +4% on the day


Still can't wrap my head around $XRP valuation

The market cap of ALL memecoins including $DOGE (which is >50% of the total) is only $66bn to give you some perspective


HYPE / OTHERS




All of these coins have been launched in 2024 and have been trading above $1bn FDV after launch :

$GMRX : -99.4%
$NGL : -98.2%
$APRS : -98.2%
$MAVIA : -97.3%
$FB : -96.9%
$PORTAL : -94.7%
$REZ : -94.1%
$DYM : -94%
$PNUT : -93.7%
$ALEO : -93.4%
$PIXEL : -93.4%
$XAI : -93.4%


We're witnessing disgusting levels of crime on-chain, but this should not lead you to think that CEX coins were actually better

$MON is down -92% from launch, you can't even see a single pump on the chart

(Just a random example of irrelevant CEX coin)


Saylor unveiled the 21/21 plan in early November 2024 :

- Raise $21bn in equity to buy $BTC
- Raise $21bn in fixed income to buy $BTC

Since then :

- He has bought $17bn of BTC through selling equity. $4bn left on that front.
- He has raised $3.5bn through fixed income (convertible bonds + preferred stocks). $17.5bn left.

Saylor said on the recent earnings call that Q1 would be for levering up the balance sheet.

This means progressing on the fixed income front, ie borrow money to buy more BTC and add more leverage in the system.

MSTR is FAR from being over-leveraged here, they still have a ton of room to purchase more BTC imo.


If you want to be long vaporware, choose the Lindy one I guess

$LTC


The 'multiple appchains' model never made sense to me

It's OBVIOUS that having 100 chains is an absolute pain in the ass because everybody hates bridging

And yet they keep launching new chains every other day

At what point will people realize that launching their own chain for each of their fkn app is retarded ?

Dydx is a great illustration of that. They launched their own chain : congrats, they are now dead…


Polygon zkEVM

$6M TVL

Brutal


MELANIA / TRUMP pair trade :

Didn't go as straightforward as expected but ended up reaching the target


Eric Semler is the chairman of Semler, which recently pivoted to a Bitcoin Treasury strategy, and he's pushing for other zombie companies to adopt it too.

There is very clear incentive to do it for many companies on the stock market

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