Dutchsinse (Twitter)Made a post on this yesterday, and here we are today, the swarm of noteworthy M5.0+ earthquakes is carrying on at the "S" shaped plate boundary in Indonesia!
Day 2 of the event starting basically now. Keep an eye on it, in case it does not calm down, its staying steady now at mid-upper M5.6ish... if it goes up in magnitudes any further, we could call these M5's "foreshocks" of a greater coming earthquake.
https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/eventpage/us6000p00b/executive#generalAny time I see a location start to swarm with many M5.0+ in the same area for more than a day, I keep watch for the areas around the location to start moving with larger activity (compensation on the plate boundaries basically).
Now for certain keep watch, yesterday I was on the fence about watching , but now watch this for the next several days just in case we go up in magnitude from M5 to M6+
Foreshock swarms are well documented , professionals acknowledge foreshock swarms can occur before larger events in many cases.. but it is NOT 100% that a larger event will happen (according to professionals).
I will say on my own (I'm not a professional) that I'd watch for several days around the region swarming, and directly across the Pacfic, as well as China (both should start compensation movement). But this is my own thing , not something professionals will agree with me on.
We shall see what happens over the next few days, its not a long time to wait either way.
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