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Techno_Fog

@techno_fog
Channel's geo and language: World, English
Category: Politics

More of a stream of consciousness here.

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Techno_Fog

6 Nov, 09:32

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Fox calls Pennsylvania for Trump.

The other swing states are just icing on the cake.

Game over. He did it.
25.2k 1 132
Techno_Fog

6 Nov, 07:23

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New York Times -

There’s a very real chance that Trump sweeps all 7 swing states.

The election could turn into a bloodbath by the end of the night. Enjoy!
145.7k 19 794
Techno_Fog

6 Nov, 06:59

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Trump exceeding his 2020 share of the Hispanic vote. Could be the difference in 2024.

Examples from Texas - Trump leads by 5% in Cameron County and is tied in Hidalgo County. (He lost both by 10%+ in 2020.)

Both counties are ~90% Hispanic - and are strongholds for state Democrats.
25.9k 2 102
Techno_Fog

6 Nov, 05:24

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New York Times at 9:22 EST

Leaning towards a Trump victory.

NYT has Georgia and North Carolina leaning Trump.
31k 3 168
Techno_Fog

5 Nov, 23:50

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Another example from Florida - this time Broward County.

In 2020, Democrats had 274,000 votes by mail.

In 2024, it was down to 145,000.

We've seen the same in Arizona and Pennsylvania - Democrat early voting numbers are way down. Things are looking good for Republicans if Democrats don't turn it around with election day turnout.
66.8k 7 351
Techno_Fog

5 Nov, 21:36

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Miami Dade went to Biden +7% in 2020.

At 12:30pm EST, Republicans are up on Democrats by nearly 32,000 votes. (Not counting independents.)

Democrats in Miami Dade aren't showing up in big numbers for election day voting - Republicans lead them by ~1,500 votes.

It's only one county out of thousands, but it suggests that Kamala has a serious enthusiasm problem.
100.3k 15 516
Techno_Fog

4 Nov, 23:28

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Democrats are admitting that “the early vote numbers are a little scary.”

The Trump campaign says “Our internal polls have President Trump leading in every single key battleground state.”

Will it be enough?

https://technofog.substack.com/p/election-2024-the-day-before
Election 2024: The Day Before
Reasons for Optimism
50.7k 7 411
Techno_Fog

31 Oct, 23:07

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Latest polls from Atlas Intel -

Trump leads in 6 of 7 swing states, with the largest advantages in Georgia, Nevada, and North Carolina.

Still a tight race but Trump has a very real chance to carry all 7 swing states.
39.8k 9 314
Techno_Fog

31 Oct, 20:37

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Nevada -

Republicans maintain an early vote lead by 42,000 votes (4.8 percent).

Lots of unknowns, but this from a moderate/liberal Nevada pundit is important: "GOP still looking stronger than ever at this point in an election, with substantial ballot lead."

https://thenevadaindependent.com/article/the-early-voting-blog-2024
The early voting blog, 2024 - The Nevada Independent
Follow along with Nevada’s 2024 election in our early voting blog. Get the latest updates, insights, and key information as voters head to the polls.
62.5k 7 300
Techno_Fog

25 Oct, 19:31

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Reasons for optimism -

Biden won Miami Dade County by approximately 7% in 2020.

Early voting shows Republican voters outpacing Democrats.

And Trump likely has the edge with Miami Dade independents.
62.8k 7 302
Techno_Fog

24 Oct, 22:47

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It turns out that latest Trump accuser was an Obama fundraiser and a Democrat donor.

And the reporter pushing the allegations is the same reporter who pushed a 2020 October surprise "sexual assault" - again, from a Democrat.

What are the odds?

https://technofog.substack.com/p/on-that-latest-trump-accuser
On that latest Trump accuser
Deep Democrat ties and an October surprise
69.2k 14 929
Techno_Fog

9 Oct, 21:42

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Latest Quinnipiac University Poll -

Trump leads in Michigan (3%) and Wisconsin (2%); Trump behind 3% in Pennsylvania.

We see the Pennsylvania race closer - but Quinnipiac, to their credit, admits that Kamala's support in PA (and elsewhere) is slipping.

Key quote: "The Harris post-debate starburst dims to a glow as Harris enters the last weeks slipping slightly in the Rust Belt."

Notable - Trump wins independents in all three states.

Momentum is shifting.
83.9k 9 284
Techno_Fog

6 Sep, 20:12

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Just in - Trump will not face sentencing in his New York case until after the election.

Judge Juan Merchan has rescheduled sentencing for November 26. It was previously set for September 18.

Huge break.
107.2k 15 791
Techno_Fog

24 Aug, 04:19

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139.7k 17 1.9k
Techno_Fog

9 Aug, 18:13

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https://technofog.substack.com/p/stolen-valor

Service is honorable. Lies about service and abandoning your battalion?

As dishonorable as it gets. Kamala and Tim Walz have a problem and it's not going away.
Stolen Valor: The Many Lies of Tim Walz
The Kamala Campaign has a problem.
102.6k 6 403
Techno_Fog

23 Jul, 17:32

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241.6k 18 1.4k
Techno_Fog

21 Jul, 20:58

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Joe Biden has dropped out.
81k 4 318
Techno_Fog

16 Jul, 20:09

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New Jersey Democrat Bob Menendez convicted on all 18 counts in sweeping bribery and corruption trial.

Menendez accepted hundreds of thousands of dollars in bribes - including cash, a luxury vehicle, and gold bars in exchange for protecting his business associates and benefiting the country of Egypt.

The charges included conspiracy to commit bribery and extortion, and conspiracy for a foreign official to act as a foreign agent.

https://nypost.com/2024/07/16/us-news/sen-bob-menendez-convicted-of-sprawling-gold-bar-bribery-scheme/
Sen. Bob Menendez faces decades in prison as he's convicted of...
Sen. Robert Menendez has been found guilty of accepting hundreds of thousands of dollars of bribes in exchange for using his powerful post to enrich and protect three businessmen and the Egyptian and...
78.6k 3 483
Techno_Fog

15 Jul, 22:09

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The VP Pick is in: Trump selects Ohio Senator JD Vance.
42.2k 1 142
Techno_Fog

15 Jul, 18:10

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Overview - the rationale behind Judge Cannon's dismissal of Special Counsel Smith's case against Donald Trump.

The Special Counsel's arguments concerning the legality of his appointment would erode Congressional powers, give the Executive unchecked power, and erode basic separation of powers principles.

https://technofog.substack.com/p/the-trump-florida-case-dismissed
The Trump Florida Case: Dismissed.
A huge loss for Special Counsel Smith
91.4k 9 402
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