Репост из: Captain Keshel's 2024 Election HQ
The two biggest canaries in the coal mine people are missing as to why the Harris campaign is in free fall have nothing to do with managed narrative polling of swing states.
1) Harris campaign begging for another debate, and insisting on CNN only. Her CEILING is to win or “win” by an eyelash (last election even when “fortified” was 42,918 ballots in three states and 4.5% popular vote margin), and a campaign holding that has avoided scrutiny at all costs wanting a debate isn’t a sign she is holding on by an eyelash.
2) Accidentally accurate polls showing VA tight and NY in the low teens - all historical precedent, especially for NY, means a large right shift in the Rust Belt +WI/MN/NJ.
1) Harris campaign begging for another debate, and insisting on CNN only. Her CEILING is to win or “win” by an eyelash (last election even when “fortified” was 42,918 ballots in three states and 4.5% popular vote margin), and a campaign holding that has avoided scrutiny at all costs wanting a debate isn’t a sign she is holding on by an eyelash.
2) Accidentally accurate polls showing VA tight and NY in the low teens - all historical precedent, especially for NY, means a large right shift in the Rust Belt +WI/MN/NJ.