🇸🇴 Situation in Somalia: Crisis in JubalandSummary for November 22 - December 12, 2024The political crisis in
Jubaland has reached a peak of escalation. In the city of
Ras Kamboni, where Somali troops and local Jubaland Dervish Forces militias were
previously deployed, clashes have occurred.
▪️During the brief battles, the Somali army's "Gorgor" brigade, which was
trained in
Turkey, suffered heavy losses and partially surrendered to the separatists, while other servicemen fled to Kenya. The surrounding areas of the city also came under the control of local forces.
After the rupture with the federal authorities, the Jubaland authorities refused dialogue and moved to escalate the conflict. Interestingly, they had previously evacuated their top leadership abroad. For example, the Jubaland Minister of National Security was evacuated from the country under the escort of Ethiopian troops.
🔻And all this is happening against the backdrop of reconciliation talks between Somalia and Ethiopia,
held in
Ankara. According to the final communiqué, the two sides agreed on
mutually beneficial commercial agreements and sustainable access to the sea.
❗️But this does not mean that the Ethiopian authorities will stop covertly supporting separatists in Somaliland and now in Jubaland.
Due to the rapprochement of the leadership in
Mogadishu with the Egyptians, who are rivals of the Ethiopians in the struggle for regional influence, other provocations should be expected. Moreover, the true intentions of the Ethiopians were underscored by the visit of the head of the Ethiopian National Regional Administration of Somalia to Hargeisa to meet with the President of Somaliland.
▪️In addition to the events in
Jubaland, the situation in the fight against terrorism also remains stably tense. Some Al-Shabaab attacks take place near the capital. At the same time, in the autonomous
Puntland, the armed forces are preparing an offensive against the militants of the "Islamic State" hiding in the rugged mountains.
The latter, at the behest of the Western media, have already
managed to become almost the main base of the international terrorist group. What they actually represent - we will find out in the near future.
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