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😎 How to Tell if the Bull Market Is Already at Its Peak?

There are several clear signals that indicate the market is overheating and the cycle is nearing its end.

Keep a cool head and watch for the following signs:

🤑 Everyone Suddenly Started Talking About Crypto

When your friends, relatives, or colleagues who previously showed no interest begin asking:

"How's Bitcoin doing?" — it's a wake-up call 📞


Massive interest usually comes not at the beginning, but at the final stage of the cycle.

💵 Showy Wealth

🟡 Expensive cars, watches, and parties amidst unchecked optimism.

🟡 People are actively discussing new investments with unrealistic expectations.

🟡 Greed is obvious on the charts: risk management becomes irrelevant.

📰 Positive News No Longer Lifts the Market

When even great news stops pushing prices up, and negative news causes sharp declines, it signals structural weakness.

The market is losing momentum and preparing for a correction.


⬇️ Change in Market Structure

Growth slows down, forming lower highs. This is the time to switch to a more conservative strategy.

The appearance of a downward trend in the short term is a reason to reduce risks.


🏆 Crypto is Trending Everywhere

🟡 Crypto apps are occupying top spots in the App Store.

🟡 Search queries for keywords are breaking historical records.

🟡 Retail interest is at its peak, and it's no longer the "early stage" of the market.

😎 Everyone is Only Focused on Growth

When bearish sentiments disappear and everyone around talks only about growth prospects, be cautious.

Such unanimous optimism often precedes a downturn.


🫡 Leaving Jobs for Crypto

New market participants who start earning sharply believe it's forever.

They quit their jobs and fully transition to crypto, considering every trade a win. This is a clear sign of excessive confidence and overheating.

💲 Overhyped Forecasts and Old Projects

Incredible price forecasts emerge: everyone tries to justify holding assets.

Old, "outdated" projects suddenly get a second wind, which often happens closer to the end of the cycle.

😲 Can You Predict the Peak?

It's important to view the market from a risk and probability perspective.

If you notice these signals, it might be time to consider taking profits and adopting a more conservative strategy.

A bull market is great, but it's important to exit in time🚪

What does your experience tell you about the bull cycle? React below:

👍 — The bull cycle is at its peak

🔥 — The market is already overheating, this is the end - you know

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📣 Weekly Crypto Updates: What’s New?

Here are the key events from the cryptocurrency world over the past few days:

1️⃣ Grayscale Launches Trusts for Optimism and Lido DAO

Grayscale announced the Optimism Trust Fund and Lido DAO Trust Fund, providing investors access to the Optimism and Lido DAO ecosystems.

2️⃣ Base Ecosystem Records $1 Billion Net Inflow in a Month, TVL Reaches $14.2 Billion

The majority of the inflows come from Ethereum (87%) and Arbitrum (4%, equally split between ETH and stablecoins).

3️⃣ Electric Capital: Solana – Leader in New Crypto Developers

In 2024, Solana attracted 7,625 new developers, an increase of 83% year-over-year. For the first time, it surpassed Ethereum with 6,244 developers.

However, Ethereum remains the largest ecosystem thanks to Layer 2 networks: Base, Optimism, Arbitrum.


4️⃣ HashKey Chain Launches Atlas Grant Program with $50 Million

A program to support Web3 developers, focusing on tokenizing real assets, stablecoins, PayFi, and BTCFi.

5️⃣ Filecoin Presents Strategy for 2025

Filecoin plans to:

🟡 Improve network quality;
🟡 Support AI initiatives;
🟡 Develop data storage tools;
🟡 Find profitable models for storage providers.

6️⃣ Binance Removes Inscription Market, Prepares New One for 2025

Binance is closing the Inscription market, so buying or selling assets there is no longer possible.

However, a new platform supporting BRC-20 tokens will be launched in February 2025.


7️⃣ Nature Highlights Decentralized Science Project ResearchHub

ResearchHub will be organized based on a scientific journal and promises to reward reviewers with ResearchCoin (RSC) tokens, approximately $150 per review.

8️⃣ Raydium Surpasses Uniswap, Achieves $12.46 Billion in November Trading

In November, Raydium's trading volume exceeded Uniswap's by about 30%, reaching $12.46 billion, with 65% of the total volume coming from meme coin trading.

9️⃣ Azuki Appoints Actor Stephen Fung as Creative Partner

Hong Kong actor Stephen Fung became a creative partner for Azuki, strengthening the brand's presence in Asia.

1️⃣0️⃣ Binance Launches New Token Pool for Vana (VANA)

Vana (VANA) trading began on December 16, 2024.

VANA is an EVM-compatible L1 blockchain focused on managing user data.

Previously, Vana introduced its tokenomics. The total supply is 120 million VANA tokens, of which 66.9% are allocated to the ecosystem and community.


😎 Summary

It was a busy week: from the launch of trusts and tokens to the growth of Solana developers and Filecoin strategies 🔥

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📣 Everyone’s Talking About DAOs: A Crypto Trend or New Opportunities?

Let’s assume you’ve already heard about DAOs — decentralized autonomous organizations based on blockchain technology.

Their unique feature is that participants can develop their own communities and take part in airdrops.

Let’s take the ХDAO project as an example: the world’s largest DAO creation platform🤩

😎 What Is This DAO?

TONxDAO is an app built on DAO principles. It offers its own $DAO token as a reward.

The mechanics are simple: find the circle at the center of the screen, hold it to “feel the vibe,” and earn tokens.

TONxDAO collaborates with crypto industry giants like Notcoin, Blum, and Telegram Apps Center.


⭐️ How to Farm Tokens at MAX

Gather a team of 5 people, create a DAO, start farming, and wait for the airdrop.

Invite friends: the multiplier depends on the number, for example, 2 participants = x2 farming, 3 participants = x3 farming, and so on.

By the way, TONxDAO’s airdrop is planned for Q1 2025.

TONxDAO has a feature called the Syndicate to farm tokens with a maximum multiplier—x5.

There’s also mega-farming at x5, which runs for 30 minutes each day. The DAO creator sets the start time.


It may sound complicated, but in reality, it takes only 5 minutes a day.

➡️ Conclusion:

DAO is a real thing in crypto, provided the platform is trustworthy, like TONxDAO.

It’s entirely possible to create own DAO, share the vibe with friends, and earn $DAO tokens by joining syndicates.


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🏆 TOP-15 Tokens Popular on Binance

Binance – the largest cryptocurrency exchange, recently published the TOP-15 tokens that lead in search within the system.

Let's delve into which tokens are most frequently searched by users and why

🟠 TOP-5 Tokens

🔸 $BNB – Binance's own token takes the first place in the Binance ranking. It accounted for 31% of the trading volume.

🪙 $BTC – clearly dominates the market currently, on other platforms BTC holds the first place with a volume of 90%.

⚪️ $ETH – Ethereum remains popular thanks to smart contracts and its leading position in the DeFi ecosystem.

🧬 $SOL – Solana stands out with its high transaction speed and low fees.

🔻 $TRX – Tron is actively used in the field of decentralized applications and stablecoins.

🔸 10 More Tokens

😐 $PEPE – a meme token popular among retail investors, actively discussed on social media.

💧 $SUI – a next-generation blockchain known for its focus on scalability and DeFi projects.

🟠 $HBAR – Hedera offers high performance for corporate solutions, making it unique among altcoins.

🟠 $THE – riding the hype wave thanks to unique memes and community engagement.

🔺 $AVAX – Avalanche is popular for its speed and ability to process thousands of transactions per second.

#️⃣ $RSR – the utility token of Reserve Protocol, used for stability and supporting reserve currency operations.

🏧 $ARB – Arbitrum token is associated with one of the leading Layer 2 solutions for Ethereum.

🔹 $LINK – Chainlink remains a key project in the field of blockchain oracles.

🌔 $LISTA – a relatively new token gaining popularity thanks to listings on major exchanges.

🧿 $FIL – Filecoin offers solutions for decentralized data storage, actively used in Web3.

➡️ Conclusion of the Ranking

The leaders remain time-tested tokens: $BNB, $BTC, $ETH – their popularity is due to a large ecosystem and user trust.

Interest in next-generation blockchains also remains – $SOL, $AVAX, and $SUI.

Meme tokens ($PEPE, $THE) are not lagging behind; they continue to attract attention and remain trending.

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😲 A New Crypto-Activity Spotted: What Would People Do for 100 TON?

The well-known fitness app Fitton has launched a 30-day challenge where you can win up to 100 TON 🪙

3 daily tasks from Fitton are just EASY:

🟡 10 squats
🟡 10 push-ups
🟡 20 leg lifts

This kind of exercise reminds me of my school gym class and has energized me for the whole day 🏆

For those who want to get fitter and boost their TON wallet, welcome:

1️⃣ Since I’m participating in this challenge myself, I recommend using this wallet (click-click) because there’s a fun perk involved.

2️⃣ Then go to Fitton via this link: https://t.me/fittonapp_bot/app?startapp=80367266

3️⃣ Complete the tasks for 30 days! Let’s stick together, guys! 💪

Thus, you’ll have 100% TONus in your muscles by New Year for sure.


And who knows, besides earning crypto over 30 days, you might achieve an athletic form like the TON Foundation founder’s desert photoshoot physique — that’s a nice bonus too 🤨

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😱 How FOMO Works in the Crypto Market (Fear of Missing Out)

The cryptocurrency market is a place where FOMO (Fear of Missing Out) literally defines traders' behavior.

We all know what can happen when a new trend emerges and a pump starts.

Let's understand how it works and what important things to remember to avoid falling into the trap!

😊 A Trend Starts — A Pump Begins

Confident players start betting on new trends.

Every few weeks, a new meta emerges, and a pump begins in the market.


😭 What Happens Next?

Early trend participants who got in on time start feeling justified and actively share their successes.

They exclaim with euphoria, "This is a trend!" and attract others' attention.

As a newcomer, you begin to doubt your assets and ask yourself:

😩 "Are my assets bad? Do I need to urgently change my strategy?"

A few days pass, you doubt yourself but decide, "Forget it! I missed out, so be it."

But then the trend continues to gain popularity, and you start to believe again, "Yes, this is definitely a new trend!"

🤔 You Switch to New Assets... But What Next?

The trend gains strength, but early players start taking profits, and the momentum gradually fades.

You find yourself at a crossroads again, thinking, "Should I switch to new assets?"

You switch and hope for big profits, but here's the catch:

Goals become too high, there's no profit-taking, and the market slows down a bit.


At this time, a new trend starts to emerge, and the cycle repeats again.

😎 What You Need to Learn

1️⃣ Confidence is Key!

Become a confident participant, develop your theory, and stick to it.

Define the conditions under which your theory will stop working, and be ready to wait patiently.

If your idea is correct, your assets will one day become the "main character."


2️⃣ A Plan is Important, Especially When Your Assets Are in the Spotlight

Trends come and go, but your plan should remain unchanged.

Don't succumb to others' lofty goals — if your strategy works, stick to it!


3️⃣ Risk Management!

If your idea has high risk, plan your actions in advance before the pump starts.

Sell to those who came later and buy during the dip. The main thing is to stay patient!


➡️ What’s Important to Remember?

Don't succumb to mass FOMO, chase every trend, or switch from one to another.

Focus on your plan and stick to your theory, even when the market is shouting about a new pump.

Confidence, patience, and risk management are your best friends in the crypto market.


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🧐 Keyrock Analyzed 16,000+ Token Unlocks and Concluded…

Keyrock’s intriguing study examined how token unlocks affect token prices and which trader strategies lead to price increases or declines.

Let’s break down the key points and understand why 👇

A Bit About Unlocks

Every week, tokens worth more than $600 million enter the crypto market due to unlock events.

These unlocks don’t just jolt the market; they also set new price trajectories for various projects.

What You Need to Know:

1️⃣ 90% of unlocks put downward pressure on prices, regardless of their size or category

2️⃣ The impact begins 30 days before the event, as participants start hedging

3️⃣ Large unlocks cause price drops 2.4 times more severe than smaller ones

4️⃣ Team unlocks hit the market hardest, with price drops averaging -25%.

But there are exceptions: ecosystem development unlocks can sometimes even bolster the token’s price, with an average increase of +1.18%.


🗼 Why Are Unlocks So Important?

For traders, these events serve as beacons, warning of incoming waves 🌊🗼

An unlock means a large number of tokens enter circulation, increasing market pressure.

To understand the exact price impact, consider two key factors:

1️⃣ The size of the unlock relative to the total supply

2️⃣ The category of the token recipients

😐 Size Matters

The bigger the unlock, the harder it “hits” the market.

Analysis of over 16,000 cases showed:

🟡 Small unlocks (less than 1% of supply) exert only minimal pressure

🟡 Large events (5–10% of supply) lead to sharp price drops and increased volatility.

Interestingly, “huge” unlocks (more than 10% of supply) can have less noticeable immediate impact since their effect often plays out over time.


➡️ Note:

A good time to enter a position is about 14 days after a major unlock, when the market begins to stabilize.

🤑 Who Gets the Tokens?

This is as important as the unlock size. Here are the main recipient categories and their impacts:

🟡 Project Team: The most destructive unlocks for price—drops up to -25%. Often due to mass selling without any strategy.

🟡 Investors: Negative impact is present but less pronounced, as large investors use sophisticated strategies (like OTC deals or options).

🟡 Ecosystem: Potentially the only category that can have a positive effect on the token’s price.

Why This Matters:

Unlocks for the team or investors could signal a good time to exit, while ecosystem unlocks might indicate long-term growth potential.

😲 How Does the Market React?

Token unlocks aren’t just technical events; they’re powerful market drivers.

Ignoring unlock schedules means missing out on crucial analytical insights.

😎 What Does Keyrock Recommend?

🟡 Always review unlock schedules before investing in a token

🟡 Consider both the size of the event and who’s receiving the tokens

🟡 The optimal time to enter is about 14 days after a major unlock

🟡 Avoid tokens with frequent team or investor unlocks

Understanding unlock dynamics not only helps protect your capital but also reveals opportunities for profitable trades.


In short, analyze, track, and take action! ❤️‍🔥

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📣 Crypto Updates of the Week: What’s New?

Here are the key events in the crypto world from the past few days:

1️⃣ SEC Rejects SOL Spot ETF

The SEC has rejected applications for Solana spot ETFs, making it clear that under current policies, no new crypto-ETFs are expected to gain approval 🚧

2️⃣ RTFKT to Exit Web3 by 2025

Nike’s subsidiary RTFKT will end its Web3 activities in January 2025.

Before leaving, the team plans to update the website and conduct the MNLTH X BLADE DROP.

3️⃣ Sky Under Fire Over $756M in USDC

Sky (formerly MakerDAO) faces criticism for holding USDC reserves in a standard EOA wallet.

Although the team claims that the recovery keys were destroyed, the community remains uneasy about security and transparency.


4️⃣ Movement Network: Beta Mainnet Launch

The Movement Network Foundation has activated its Beta Mainnet, offering follower nodes, RPC, indexers, limited smart contracts, and Genesis NFTs.

Major exchanges, including Coinbase and Bybit, are preparing to list MOVE.


5️⃣ XION L1 and $XION Token Debut

XION launches its mainnet and the $XION token, focusing on “walletless” solutions, fiat transactions, and gas abstraction.

The main goal is to simplify user migration from Web2 to Web3, prioritizing community development.


6️⃣ Swell L2 Enters the Optimism Ecosystem

Swell Network plans to deploy its Layer 2 solution (Swell L2) on Optimism, with the mainnet expected by mid-to-late December.

The devnet is already live, and projects are testing their dApps on the new platform.


7️⃣ BNB Chain Launches Meme Token Airdrop

Starting December 12, BNB Chain will buy meme tokens worth 33 BNB daily for a week and distribute them randomly to 1,000 users.

8️⃣ Pudgy Penguins Prepares PENGU Token for 2024

PENGU will be a multi-chain solution appearing on Solana, Ethereum, and Abstract Chain.

A significant portion of tokens will be allocated to support the community and strengthen the ecosystem.


9️⃣ Milady MEME Delayed, Community Unhappy

Despite raising over $20 million in the presale, the release of the MEME token is postponed.

1️⃣0️⃣ PancakeSwap Springboard for Quick Token Launches

PancakeSwap has introduced the Springboard launchpad, simplifying token creation and launches with no code and zero fees.

👍 Summary

This week in crypto was eventful: from regulatory rejections and high-profile exits to new network launches, tokens, and improved community tools. Progress never stops! 🔥

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💬 What Does the CryptoQuant CEO Think About Altseason?

Recently, in a post on X, Ki Young Ju shared his own vision of the upcoming altseason.

Let’s see what patterns and scenarios might unfold.

🧐 The Season Will Be More Complex and Selective

The market is extremely optimistic.

Nevertheless, there are limitations on the inflow of new liquidity.

This factor adds complexity to the season’s sentiment.

🪙 $BTC Is Detaching From the Overall Crypto Market

Right now, Bitcoin is forming its own “paper-based” second-layer ecosystem.

Political attention, along with the influence of institutional players like ETFs, MicroStrategy, and various funds, is creating a reality where BTC is separating itself from the crypto market.

As a result, altcoins are losing their dependency on BTC’s price. Trends are becoming independent, and that’s a key factor.


😭 How Can Altcoins Survive?

Altcoins must choose one of two strategies:

🟡 Just like BTC, start creating a paper-based second-layer ecosystem.

🟡 Build a real “internet money” ecosystem using stablecoins or BTC.

💳 How to Make Altseason Safer?

Whether altseason has started or not, security in crypto payments comes first.

For example, the well-known financial tool Altery cares about its customers and is regulated by the UK Financial Conduct Authority (FCA).

Altery supports both fiat currencies— pounds, dollars, euros — and cryptocurrencies like TON and USDT for balance top-ups.

It operates via a mobile app or bot and can be set up in 4 simple steps:

1️⃣ Connect through the Altery bot — click-click

2️⃣ Complete KYC for security

3️⃣ Issue a card

4️⃣ Top up with crypto or fiat

We recommend using digital and fiat currencies safely — together with Altery.


➡️ Conclusions

In the long term, the CryptoQuant CEO recommends focusing on those altcoins that will follow one of two scenarios: follow the BTC path or build their own ecosystems.

Let’s see if altseason expectations are met and if Ki Young Ju’s predictions come true.


Crypto Showcase 💸


🤓 Game Theory in Cryptocurrencies: How Mathematics Ensures Blockchain Security

Game theory in cryptocurrencies is the foundation, but it’s still interesting to recall what the blockchain is built upon 😁

Let’s break down how this concept shapes security and economics within the system.

✍️ What is Game Theory?

It’s a branch of mathematics that studies the behavior of players in systems where their decisions influence one another.

The task is to predict the rational behavior of participants.


🖥 How Does Game Theory Work in Blockchains?

In Bitcoin, it helps motivate miners to act honestly.

Economic incentives and the Proof of Work algorithm create an environment where it’s simply unprofitable for attackers to harm the network.

Example: If miners invest in equipment and then behave dishonestly, they risk losing all their invested funds.


As a result, the rational choice is to act honestly and earn rewards.

🤖 Optimistic Rollups and Validator Games

In Layer 2 systems, such as optimistic rollups, validators assume each other’s honesty.

If someone tries to cheat, others will challenge it 😮

Scenario examples:

1️⃣ Both validators are honest — the network is stable, everyone gets rewarded

2️⃣ One is dishonest — the network slows down, the dishonest one loses their reward

3️⃣ Both are dishonest — the network functions, but users suffer

It’s somewhat reminiscent of the “Mafia” game, where you need to identify who’s playing unfairly 😈

➡️ Why Is Game Theory Important?

It makes blockchains resilient and predictable.

Thanks to these principles, Bitcoin remains one of the most secure networks.

In general, game theory is the backbone of crypto-economics, applied not only in PoW but also in PoS blockchains, guiding the actions of validators.


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🏠 Which 17 Tokens Did Kraken Add to Its Roadmap?

Kraken, the second-largest cryptocurrency exchange in the U.S., is preparing to expand its list of tradable assets by adding 17 new tokens and integrations.

The exchange mentions that the Roadmap list does not guarantee listing, but it's still interesting to see which tokens have been included.

🏠 Key Integrations:

🟡 BNB — support via BNB Smart Chain.

🟡 DYDX — integration with the dYdX DEX platform.

🟡 AR — addition of the Arweave blockchain.

🟡 Celo — compatibility with the Celo protocol.

🏠 All 17 Tokens:

🟡 CoW Protocol (COW)
🟡 Dogs (DOGS)
🟡 Goatseus Maximus (GOAT)

🟣 Fwog (FWOG)
🟣 Liquity (LQTY)
🟣 LOCK IN (LOCKIN)

🟡 MAGA (TRUMP)
🟡 Michi (MICHI)
🟡 Gravity (G)

🟣 Moo Deng (MOODENG)
🟣 Neiro (NEIRO)
🟣 Notcoin (NOT)

🟡 Omni (OMNI)
🟡 Peanut the Squirrel (PNUT)

🟣 SPX6900 (SPX)
🟣 Sigma (SIGMA)
🟣 TokenFi (TOKEN)

🏠 Most Anticipated Tokens

🟡 MAGA (TRUMP) — the name comes from the initials of the phrase "Make America Great Again," popularized by Trump in 2016.

🟡 Notcoin (NOT) — a gaming token made in Telegram.

🟡 Dogs (DOGS) — a meme coin popular on Telegram, inspired by the mascot Spotty.

🟡 Goatseus Maximus (GOAT) — a meme coin managed by Artificial Intelligence.

😐 Trend of Listing Expansion on U.S. Exchanges

Kraken's decision comes amid a bullish market and growing interest in cryptocurrencies. Similar steps are being taken by Coinbase and Robinhood:

🟡 Last week, Coinbase added meme tokens PEPE and FLOKI, which have been on the market for a long time.

🟡 Robinhood launched trading of XRP, Cardano (ADA), and Solana (SOL) for the first time.

Experts associate this trend with the expected pro-cryptocurrency stance of Donald Trump, which may ease token listing regulations.


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👨‍💻 Scam in Telegram: How to Protect Yourself

Telegram is becoming an increasingly popular platform for financial transactions, but with convenience comes risk.

On our channel, we regularly share common scam schemes to help you stay ahead of potential threats.

Today, let’s discuss key security principles.

➡️ Principle 1: Never click on suspicious links

Scammers often use phishing links to access your data.

If a message seems suspicious or comes from an unknown sender, avoid clicking on links or downloading attachments.


➡️ Principle 2: Choose a verified bot for payments

Scammers create fake bots to steal your money 🛡

Always rely on trusted services like @Altery, which ensures secure transactions and convenient fund management.

➡️ Why choose Altery?

🟡 Global payments: supports transactions across Europe, Asia, the Americas, and Africa.

🟡 Security: complies with PCI DSS standards and is regulated by the UK's FCA.

🟡 E-wallet functionality: send, receive, and store money in multiple currencies.

🟡 Ease of use: accessible via Telegram with a user-friendly interface and support.

🟡 Reliability: deposits are held in regulated and insured institutions.

➡️Principle 3: Enable two-factor authentication (2FA)

Add an extra layer of security by enabling 2FA in Telegram settings.

This makes it nearly impossible for scammers to access your account, even if they discover your password


💳 Conclusion

Security in Telegram starts with your decisions.

Avoid suspicious links, choose trusted services like @Altery, and always enable two-factor authentication.

Stay vigilant to safeguard your funds and data 😎

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