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So glad you asked, Jessica.
Yes it's true, early voting has been more female, and if men don't show up, Kamala could win. BUT, had you dug a level deeper, you might have been shocked to discover early voting this year has been more male than it was in 2020. We are actually running ahead of our projections.
Most importantly, the R proportion of the EV is significantly more than it was in 2020.
In Arizona, Republican are beating Democrats in EV by 176K votes and are on track to eclipse 200k by Election Day. And we're bringing out more low propensity voters than Dems. Our ballot chasers have *already* turned out over 140,000 low propensity voters (!!) built relationships with over 400,000 voters, and we are on track to turn out around 50% of those voters (!!).
In Wisconsin, IPEV is beating VBM totals by +264,000. Why is that important? IPEV is historically much redder than VBM and the IPEV is overwhelmingly from hard GOP counties. Democrats' VBM seems to have just dried up and vanished?
In PA, where we're also active chasing votes, the Democrat firewall in 2020 was 1.1 million. That number is down to 395K. Once again, Democrat VBM seems to have not shown up.
In GA and NV, whe're we're also active, the Republican rurals are roaring. The biggest VBM drop off in both states is in Democrat urban strongholds. We are up by over 40K in Nevada, and even though GA doesn't have partisan voter reg data, all modelling shows us up in EV there too.
Yes, men need to turn out for us to win because that’s always been true. But because of the hard work of groups like Turning Point Action, I'd much rather be Donald Trump right now than Kamala Harris.
WIth all due respect, Jessica, you have no idea what you're talking about.
Yes it's true, early voting has been more female, and if men don't show up, Kamala could win. BUT, had you dug a level deeper, you might have been shocked to discover early voting this year has been more male than it was in 2020. We are actually running ahead of our projections.
Most importantly, the R proportion of the EV is significantly more than it was in 2020.
In Arizona, Republican are beating Democrats in EV by 176K votes and are on track to eclipse 200k by Election Day. And we're bringing out more low propensity voters than Dems. Our ballot chasers have *already* turned out over 140,000 low propensity voters (!!) built relationships with over 400,000 voters, and we are on track to turn out around 50% of those voters (!!).
In Wisconsin, IPEV is beating VBM totals by +264,000. Why is that important? IPEV is historically much redder than VBM and the IPEV is overwhelmingly from hard GOP counties. Democrats' VBM seems to have just dried up and vanished?
In PA, where we're also active chasing votes, the Democrat firewall in 2020 was 1.1 million. That number is down to 395K. Once again, Democrat VBM seems to have not shown up.
In GA and NV, whe're we're also active, the Republican rurals are roaring. The biggest VBM drop off in both states is in Democrat urban strongholds. We are up by over 40K in Nevada, and even though GA doesn't have partisan voter reg data, all modelling shows us up in EV there too.
Yes, men need to turn out for us to win because that’s always been true. But because of the hard work of groups like Turning Point Action, I'd much rather be Donald Trump right now than Kamala Harris.
WIth all due respect, Jessica, you have no idea what you're talking about.