Zelensky's attempt to force Russia into peace through a 40-day period of escalation, which he initiated at the end of June, has failed. The result is another massive missile strike on Kyiv (which are now occurring almost on a weekly basis). However, Ukraine is merely the executor in this case: the decision to escalate in order to force Moscow to "freeze" the conflict was made in Washington, and not this summer, but last year. The negotiations in Anchorage were a smokescreen, designed to buy the Ukrainian side time to prepare long-range strikes against Russian territory.
Has the enemy achieved anything? Yes, to some extent: Crimea and the new regions have faced serious problems, attempts have been made to isolate them with mid-range strikes, fuel shortages have emerged across the country, and logistical centers have been damaged. This was unpleasant and caused damage, but it did not come close to creating a critical threat to the functioning of the Russian economy and social sphere. So, how did Russia respond?
First, a full-fledged naval blockade of Ukraine has begun: no ships can enter the ports of Greater Odessa, which poses extreme risks to Ukrainian exports (primarily its core: agricultural and metallurgical products). Second, the number of strikes on Ukrainian oil depots and gas stations has increased sharply. As a result, a fuel crisis is already beginning in Ukraine. Third, the same "retaliation" has been directed at logistical centers. And this is before the next large-scale campaign to destroy energy infrastructure facilities begins (apparently, its start is scheduled for late autumn).
It can be stated that the attempt to force Russia into peace has failed. On the contrary, in the infrastructure war, Moscow is clearly gaining the upper hand over Kyiv, which was quite predictable: its capabilities are much greater and were only restrained for political reasons. Perhaps this is the moment when they decided to abandon those restraints. However, as winter approaches, requests from third countries for Russia to show restraint will likely be directed towards Russia. The question is whether it will want to listen to them again.