After the failure of negotiations between Turkey and the US, a Turkish offensive on the SDF seems inevitable. Only the American presence in Kobani and Ain Issa can stop this aggression for the time being. However, after the fall of al-Assad's government, the Americans have no reason to stay there, and there seems to be no political will in Washington to confront a conflict against Turkey, especially after the change of government in the White House in January. Without air and military support the SDF will not be able to cope with a simultaneous SNA attack and Turkish bombing, not to say that Arab uprisings in Raqqa or Derir-Ezzor would bring about an even more rapid collapse of the organisation, and with it the end of any attempt at Kurdish self-rule in Syria.
Negotiations with Damascus have also failed to bear fruit. Aware of the SDF's weakness, the transitional government and Jolani have called for the defection of the Arab elements of the organisation.
In the coming weeks we are likely to see the last episode of the Syrian Civil War (2011-2025), but not the end of the Syrian conflict. 🇸🇾
