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🔤🔤🔤🔤 🔤🔤 🔤🔤🔤 🔤🔤🔤: Why did $XLM's Price Surge the Way it Did Over the Past Week? 🚀

Curious to see who is following this channel that knows the answer to this question. I have the answer to it and will publish this soon (it's not necessarily complex, just takes a lot of explaining to nail down the central point).

I'm asking you all this question for the following reasons:

1. Whether you're a trader or not, it helps to know what the fuck is going on in the crypto markets - period. If you don't, then...you're just here (at best). At worst, you're playing slots at a casino.

2. This exercise will familiarize you all some of the ways that institutional investors can directly influence the price of crypto assets in a not-so-subtle manner (while still doing it right under the SEC's nose).

3. The answer to this question (somewhat) ties into the greater narrative of how funds like BlackRock have been able to use these new financial products (i.e., spot Bitcoin options ETF that trades options contracts using the iBit [BlackRock] BTC ETF as its underlying product).

4. The importance of doing fundamental research in this space (and what that actually entails). A lot of people **think** they do research - they don't. This entire process will be an exercise in how to go digging for information to put certain pieces together (because shit isn't always obvious, but it is always right there in front of you).

5. Understanding **what** fundamental research is and how it can be more critical than actual technical analysis in many cases.

6. Pointing out another potent vector in the markets that will likely have a substantial impact on the price of various assets in the T25 throughout the bull run (and into the bear run as well). In fact, this same vector may be what ultimately precipitates the (eventual) bear run we'll see in the future.

That's all for right now! Go ahead and get to guessing everyone. Or if you know the answer, comment on this post and tell us. Gold star to whoever does know because that means you're really plugged in to what's going on 🌟


Final Takeaway on $TAO

Main takeaway here is that Barry Silbert (and perhaps DCG + Grayscale) were already invested pretty heavily in the Bittensor ecosystem in one facet or another before this news announcing Barry Silbert's new 'Yuma Group' creation where he has installed himself as its head in the role of CEO.

Therefore, one should expect that Silbert will be significantly motivated to ensure the Bittensor ecosystem grows to (hopefully, in his case) net him and his co-investors a decent return on his investment. Currently, the AI-based index basket fund that he launched via Grayscale (another subsidiary in Silbert's empire) that includes this asset ($TAO) in it is down -17.93% from what its NAV price was when the index launched (you can verify that here).

When considering current market conditions, one has to imagine that this piss poor performance is considered borderline untenable for Barry and his cohort of investors that dumped a few hundred odd millions into this investment vehicle and other measures designed to bolster up this specific crypto platform.

Institutional Survey of Top VC Funds & Investors Hold Belief that AI Will be the Most Lucrative Vertical in Crypto During this Market Cycle

This is all aside from the fact that AI-based projects are still a hot item in crypto, in general.

^ I'm making that statement based on the responses that the firm 'MV Capital' received on a survey of the cryptocurrency space they gave to "seventy six of the top liquid and venture allocators within crypto" (you can find that here). The tl;dr of that survey (relevant to this), is that "Respondees [sp?] were most bearish on gaming...and most bullish on Crypto x AI."

Respondents were also asked which vertical in crypto they felt would be the "best performer this cycle" and given the following choices: AI, DePIN, DeFi, L1s, Consumer, Infrastructure, Gaming, RWAs and L2s. What were the results?

"AI" received 42.9% of all votes among these top 70+ VC firms and funds that were surveyed.

So - consider all of this food for thought. Nobody can predict the future, but hopefully this serves as a comprehensive enough synopsis on the project to hold you all over until I'm finished publishing my piece on it.

Edit: Tidied up some grammar + formatting and adding in the link to that survey I referenced in the last section. (11:15 a.m. EST ; Nov 23rd, 2024)


CoinDesk Article Confirms Bullish Fundamentals for $TAO (Substantive Analysis Here - Read)

Okay, so looks like Barry had his coming out party re: "Yuma Group" just a couple days ago (I missed it; wasn't paying attention).

You can read about that here: https://www.coindesk.com/business/2024/11/20/digital-currency-groups-barry-silbert-bets-big-on-ai-blockchain-bittensor/

If you don't have the time / too lazy, don't worry, I got all of the relevant information you should have extracted from that article (that includes from the links in the article that a good researcher would follow to get a more holistic picture).

Here are some cliff notes (from me in my own words - I don't use AI generated summaries because only a human being in live time will know what the most important + relevant information to extract from a piece like this would be when placed in context):

1. Article starts off with a bullet pointed summary highlight proclaiming, "DCG chief and Yuma CEO Barry Silbert said he believes Bittensor could be as transformative as bitcoin." That's a hyperbolic statement if I've ever heard one, but I guess it goes to show how invested Barry is in this venture.

2. "Yuma will operate as an accelerator for startups looking to explore Bittensor, and as an incubator to partner up and build subnets." (so you know the relationship between this 'Yuma' entity and Bittensor and why it should translate to price appreciation)

3. Article notes that DCG invested in Bittensor way back in 2021 (interesting; forgot it was a portfolio company of theirs - this makes their listing on Coinbase that much more of a 'shoe in').

4. Article notes that Grayscale added an AI-related fund (Trust) that includes this asset in it. More details about that fund are covered in another article they published here. You can find out more raw information about the fund itself here via the press release Grayscale published announcing its inception. Raw information + metrics on this investment vehicle can be found on Grayscale's site here (still with a 2.5%+ management fee, which is steep as fuck! But Grayscale has some loyal customers, I suppose)

4a. The asset '$TAO' is the second-highest weighted asset in that index (22.04%). The highest weighted asset is $NEAR (from the Near Protocol) which takes up 30.13% of each basket issued by the fund. The other assets included in this fund are $GRT, $REN and $FIL (Graph Protocol, Render and Filecoin, respectively).

5. The significance of the 'Yuma Group' relative to Bittensor was likened to the impact of Consensys to Ethereum. If you've been following this channel for a little while, then you've probably read more than a few mini-gripes from me about how much centralized control Consensys has been able to exert on the entire Ethereum ecosystem. Cutting straight to the point here - Consensys is essentially responsible for establishing most of the ecosystem that Ethereum has (i.e., Infura, Metamask, GETH development, core dev funding for Ethereum etc.). So if 'Yuma Group' is serving an analogous role to that, then its safe to say that they will be the invisible hand that steers Bittensor (they're just doing it at an 'arms length' away from Barry and his entities directly, as they say in the financial world).


$TAO is Bullish - Would Purchase Right Now for a Short-Term Quick Flip

Publishing an article right now going over all of the reasons why, but in short:

1. Saw an alert from the '@BigCryptoAlert' bot on Twitter that Barry Silbert (founder & owner of the almight DCG conglomerate & affiliated entities) had followed some character named '@nordin.eth'.

2. This '@nordin.eth' character on Twitter has been proselytizing for $TAO (aka Bittensor) for quite some time. Initially, I waved it off as an insignificant coincidence of events.

3. Went back to Barry Silbert's bio and noticed that he added himself as "Founder/CEO of '@YumaGroup'" on there. I found that curious, so I went to investigate what this 'YumaGroup' entity was.

4. On their Twitter profile, their bio simply states; "Accelerating decentralized intelligence on #bittensor".

They only have 32 followers right now, which I found to be extremely curious since this entity is linked directly in Barry Silbert's bio. It is a legitimate entity, however (obviously) and since Barry Silbert is claiming ownership over the entity (in his Twitter bio, no less), this implies that he has significant involvement with the venture (which is singularly dedicated to 'accelerating' the Bittensor ecosystem).

Therefore, we must deduce that Barry Silbert himself has thrown his weight behind the Bittensor protocol. If this is true, that's the most bullish news that this project has received in...probably ever (correct me if I'm wrong on this).

There's more information supporting this conclusion that I came to but in the interest of timing (since the markets move quick and the position you can enter in at the time of writing may not be as sweet as the one you might get into in an hour or so when I finish publishing an article on this), I'm dropping this food for thought for anyone that's interested in what appears to be a relatively safe pick-up. Bittensor ($TAO) is currently in the top 35 in terms of market cap.

Also, with Barry Silbert's involvement, I wouldn't rule out an impending Coinbase listing soon as well (if you're not sure why I made this connection, have no fear - this will be clarified in the article that I publish soon as well).

Currently $TAO is trading at $538.83. Just marking this down so when it does shoot up in price, I can come back to this post and do the typical "I told you so" and "why did you ignore this information I disseminated" gloat channels still love doing these days.


$XRP, $UNI, $SOL and $ETH Should be Sending Off This News

For various reasons that I mentioned before. $XRP will be the biggest beneficiary of this news I’m betting though. Not too late to hop on that train as it continues to ascend. There are already a ton of shorts that got liquidated at the $1.17 level last alert I saw 🤷‍♂️.

$SOL already having a good day off the Bitwise Solana ETF application news & announcement that the SEC was engaging other applicants. Now we hear Gensler is stepping aside, the bullishness of that news is amplified.

At least that’s the narrative the markets will operate with. And why not let them?


Gensler Stepping Down = HUGE

Now we got a solid guarantee that the next SEC Chair will be headed by a Trump nominee. Republicans got Congress, so nomination process should be smooth and swift.

This is bullish as fuck for Ethereum & Solana’s ecosystems. As well as DeFi in general (particularly $UNI). This will definitely bode well for $XRP without a doubt given the potential for an XRP ETF (that the SEC was formerly opposing) & the appeal they recently filed (which they may decide to withdraw at some point in the future under new leadership & direction).

Chances are huge we could have a mute SEC for the next couple of years as it pertains to cryptocurrency. You make your own deductions as to what that means in general.








Bitcoin >$97k Now

📊 Price isn’t taking any break. There are even exchanges (derivatives) reporting liquidations at the $98k level and above. Remember what I said about the price feedback loop earlier and the potential for a volatile run if Bitcoin’s price catches over leveraged traders off guard! Very possible (not certain) that this could happen here if Bitcoin gets loose and breaks above $100k for any reason. At $97k and going, it’s definitely within the realm of possibility.


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JUST IN: Elon Musk and Vivek Ramaswamy to launch "Dogecast" podcast for the Department of Government Efficiency.

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Bitcoin Racing Toward $95k / Notes on Options ETF

With the spot Bitcoin option ETF being granted, there’s now another vehicle to exert greater buy pressure on the spot Bitcoin ETF itself - which is the underlying ETF for the options vehicle. We know BlackRock was first to the line with their own options ETF which started trading yesterday & grabbed $1.9 billion in trading volume the first day.

Price Feedback Loop Potential


There is a possibility that Bitcoin could enter a feedback loop if there’s a “negative gamma” situation. In other words, if traders get caught being over leveraged in one given position and Bitcoin squirts up above whatever the strike price for expiry is in those over leveraged contracts - the price could go on a run in that direction for a little while before settling down.

To translate - let’s say a bunch of traders are short Bitcoin at $100k (out of the money contracts) & for whatever reason there’s a volatile move that shoots Bitcoin up above $100k for some reason. That will result in the liquidation of a bunch of shorts & force market makers to cover positions going the other way (long) which will exacerbate the bullish price run past that point. So it’s entirely possible $100k could morph into $110k+ in a very short period of time.

The opposite could occur too if Bitcoin were to make a sudden move downward that catches leveraged long traders off guard. We’ve seen microcosms of this in crypto so far but not quite at the macro level we’ll be seeing it this time around if and when it does happen.


Spot Bitcoin ETF Options + AGs’ Litigious Action Against SEC / Gensler

We’ll be discussing the potential impact of Bitcoin ETF options very soon. It seems that we’re going to be running into an era where the CFTC will start earning increased jurisdiction over the crypto space.

Initially, when Gensler took office he tried to exert authority over every aspect of the crypto markets. However, derivatives and options are really supposed to fall under the jurisdiction of the CFTC. One could argue that this should extend to DeFi as well (which Gensler got a jump on early into his tenure).

The CFTC’s extension into the domain of crypto markets would be favorable for those that are anti-regulation as they rarely exert enforcement or regulatory measures (at least not as often as the SEC has). Also, let’s not forget that Gensler & the SEC are being sued by multiple different states for supposed overreaches in enforcement overreach.

More info on the lawsuit by multiple Attorney Generals against the SEC can be found here: https://thehill.com/policy/technology/4991491-gary-gensler-crypto-enforcement/amp/




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$ETH ETFs

Weekly net flow = +$512.8m

Highest weekly inflow since inception… 🐂


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Perspective


Allow the $SOL Supercycle to Begin - Another Obvious Pick Up & Hold

Solana has been lagging the markets in general in terms of total gains. 85%+ of all new token launches have been on Solana over the past couple of months.

It took off before the rest of the markets did when BTC was still struggling to cross $70k. Now it’s starting to get some movement in again.


$XRP Up 46% Since We Called it an “Obvious” Trade TWO Days Ago

Do we ever miss in here? Serious question. Ripple was trading at around $0.77 at the time this post was made.

Once again, we saw this from a distance, understood market conditions & the factors at play that could send it shooting and then - of course - wisely identified this as a lucrative investment opportunity.

This wasn’t a meme coin. Wasn’t a low MC risky pick on some fringe exchange. This was a high liquidity, highly visible, easy to obtain asset that anyone with a mere Coinbase account could have grabbed with ease. No slippage. And if you’re in it now? You could also sell with ease.

Scroll back in this channel and see if anybody here has been misguided or misdirected once. Everything that’s been touched or called has turned to solid gold. #Midas ; let’s keep moving forward though guys.

20 ta oxirgi post ko‘rsatilgan.