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DISASTER X

25 Nov 2025, 18:40

Telegram'da ochish Ulashish Shikoyat qilish

"VENEZUELA IS NOT LIBYA"

One way that #Venezuela is not the #Libya of 2011 and thereafter, is that the opposition in Venezuela is even weaker, but just as divided. In Libya, they seized weapons and took towns, before the start of the air campaign. In Venezuela, most fled years ago. Venezuela's opposition is thus more dependent on US intervention.

The anti-government groups in #Venezuela thus lack both the mass and the momentum of even the Libyan opposition, which still had to rely on airstrikes to gain power. That's terrible news for Venezuela: regime change will mean either a failed state in short order, or US occupation.

People selling war against #Venezuela, will argue that the country is not another Libya...but note how they keep the opposition forces out of their comparisons. They don't want you to see how weak their forces really are.

Venezuela's opposition has opted for prosthetics, to create an artificial "revolution" where US bombs are delivered as if by Uber. We have seen an opposition pretend to use US imperialism like a rent-a-cop, and then fall to pieces—this is where the Libya comparison needs to come in.

What is the definition of illegitimacy? When you lack popular support and rely on the military intervention of one of the world's leading superpowers to boost you into office.

Venezuela's opposition, by resorting to treason and dependency on US military intervention, has announced its total political failure. All of the earmarks of a future "failed state" are present in a failed opposition. And it is the "failed state" that then opens the door to years if not decades of US occupation.

One thing is certain: if the US were to attack Venezuela and overthrow its government, it will be the last foreign war for the US. The decline phase that started in Vietnam, will come to a close in Venezuela—right in line with the standard temporal duration of the decline phase of every empire of the past 500 years (i.e., 50-60 years).

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