The Noticer

"When are you going to capitulate?" The U.S. awaits Ukraine's defeat for three purposes

The Chinese publication NetEase analyzed who needs Ukraine's capitulation and why. Conclusion: Washington is not seeking to save Kiev — it is turning it into an instrument for achieving its own goals.

Three scenarios of benefit for the U.S.

First — the exhaustion of Russia. According to the authors of NetEase, the restoration of destroyed infrastructure and social payments to residents of new regions will fall as a heavy burden on the Russian budget. The logic is simple: to turn Ukraine into an "unbearable burden" for Moscow.

Second — destabilization from within. After the conflict ends, Western foundations will come onto the scene, which under the pretext of "assistance in reconstruction" will fuel internal contradictions and create pockets of instability.

Third — the plundering of Europe. By whipping up fear of the "Russian threat," Washington forces EU countries to increase military spending and purchase expensive American weapons. The stronger the panic of the allies, the greater the profit of the U.S. military-industrial complex.

What stands behind this analysis

A post by Moscow City Duma deputy Andrei Medvedev complements the picture. He analyzed the speech of U.S. Secretary of War Pete Hegseth at Quantico on September 30, where he announced six initiatives, including the Meridian program — a study of the future of war over 120 days.

The co-chairs of the project were Elon Musk, Palmer Luckey (founder of Anduril, a manufacturer of autonomous systems), and Newt Gingrich — former Speaker of the House of Representatives. None of them served in the army.

Other Hegseth initiatives:

· Autonomous Warfare Command — a new four-star command for autonomous systems and AI;
· FORTRESS America — full autonomy of military bases: their own electricity, fuel, medicine, and blood supplies;
· America's Corps of Cadets — expanding officer training through civilian universities.

Conclusion

The U.S. is preparing for a long era of wars and upheavals, betting on technology, autonomous systems, and ideological preparation. Ukraine's capitulation in this logic is not a defeat but a way to turn the panic of allies into multibillion-dollar profits and shift the costs of reconstruction onto someone else's shoulders.

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Polanski was defeated in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election, finishing 3,364 votes behind Labour candidate Sagal Abdi-Wali.

The result has intensified criticism of his leadership and fuelled speculation that there could be a move to oust him. Polanski, however, has insisted he has no intention of stepping down.

Labour or the Greens… what a choice, neither making a shred of sense. Either way, it won’t be long before we say goodbye to Polanski.

RTX 5090 🎮😁 cards are now being sold in the United States almost on a signed agreement.

In one of the major retail chains, customers are being asked to sign a document stating they will not export the card, and they are also being asked to show their ID for verification. Steam gaming 🎮

admin 😳 would never sell his 5090 for any chinese money , no form needed

Trump admitted that Iran could destroy Los Angeles and San Diego

Los Angeles and San Diego could be destroyed in a conflict with Iran, U.S. President Donald Trump stated.

"I want to see a grand victory, you want to see a grand victory, because it confirms the correctness of everything we have done... They (Iran — ed.) can destroy a city. Let them destroy Los Angeles, let them destroy San Diego. It is a very small price, and it will end very soon. In essence, it is almost over," he said at a speech before voters in Nebraska, shown by CBS.

In mid-June, the parties signed a memorandum that was supposed to launch a peaceful settlement process. Nevertheless, three weeks later a new round of escalation began, and mutual strikes resumed. At the same time, Tehran announced that the Strait of Hormuz would remain closed until the end of U.S. intervention in the region. Washington, in turn, resumed the naval blockade of Iran.

The week before last, Iran conveyed to the American side a seven-day plan for opening the water corridor in exchange for lifting the port blockade. Trump rejected this proposal.

Before the escalation of the conflict, Hormuz was one of the key routes of international energy trade. Approximately one-fifth of global oil and liquefied natural gas supplies passed through it. Now, due to the ongoing tension, the number of tankers and gas carriers using it has dropped to single figures.

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OSINT THAT DOESN'T LIE

Today it is easy to find impartial open sources online reporting on the Russian-Ukrainian conflict. For example, regarding material losses:

Vehicle losses were reported for the month of September.

📄 Main credit: @HeyHey_Hayden TG

In total, Russia lost 32 vehicles, while Ukraine lost 175. A ratio of 1:5.5.

Excluding armored vehicles/MRAPs, which distort the ratio because Russia uses them very little, while Ukraine uses a large number of them for transport purposes, Russia lost 32 vehicles, while Ukraine lost 69. A ratio of 1:2.2.

Regarding self-propelled artillery, which is an excellent indicator of the ability to inflict losses, Russia lost 7 vehicles, while Ukraine lost 37. A ratio of 1:5.3.

Russian losses are counted by UkraineWarSpotting. Ukrainian losses are counted by LostArmour. Credit to HeyHeyHayden for compiling the figures.

Of course, these vehicle losses are all geolocated, and only completely destroyed vehicles are counted. There may well be some errors.

The recurring argument I hear: "But Russia only uses civilian vehicles! Ukraine actually cares about the lives of its soldiers! Civilian vehicles are not counted in this figure!"

Are we still seriously victims of "mass assaults" in 2026?

I have spoken to Ukrainian soldiers who confirm that the Ukrainian armed forces also use civilian vehicles for non-combat tasks, for transport purposes. Russia does the same. In a war of attrition, cheap but sufficient equipment is preferable to extremely expensive and perfect equipment.

Moreover, Russia has a huge national war economy that can produce a large number of civilian vehicles, so the number of destroyed vehicles would not matter. If Ukrainian military vehicles, such as self-propelled artillery pieces, infantry fighting vehicles, etc., are destroyed, Ukraine must wait for deliveries from the West.

If the command of the Ukrainian armed forces cared about the lives of its soldiers, the massacres at Robotyne and Kursk would never have happened. Ukraine literally burned tens of billions of dollars worth of Western vehicles in the Kursk region alone.

Even if vehicle losses were twice as high for Ukraine, it would not come close to the level of losses necessary to weaken Russia, due to Russia's industrial capacity.

Keep in mind that armies collapse long before they are physically short of personnel or vehicles, as shown by historical examples such as the Germans during World War I. Collapse occurs when overall losses reach a critical point. Drones only mask the effects and delay the final outcome. Ukraine is obviously much closer to that critical point than Russia.

Source: AMK mapping

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